Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 3, with light rain or thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity levels are limiting insolation and promoting convective cloud cover, which caps daytime maxima near the 30°C threshold. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C because small differences in timing or intensity of showers could shift the daily high by 1°C, while historical September averages hover around 28–29°C. Updated model guidance and official 48-hour forecasts from the National Meteorological Center will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 3 de setembro?
30°C 41%
31°C 36%
29°C 12%
28°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
41%
31°C
36%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 41%
31°C 36%
29°C 12%
28°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
25°C or below
$590 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$201 Vol.
1%
27°C
$28 Vol.
1%
28°C
$42 Vol.
7%
29°C
$79 Vol.
12%
30°C
$217 Vol.
41%
31°C
$144 Vol.
36%
32°C
$150 Vol.
6%
33°C
$5 Vol.
1%
34°C
$5 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 3, with light rain or thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity levels are limiting insolation and promoting convective cloud cover, which caps daytime maxima near the 30°C threshold. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C because small differences in timing or intensity of showers could shift the daily high by 1°C, while historical September averages hover around 28–29°C. Updated model guidance and official 48-hour forecasts from the National Meteorological Center will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,714Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 3, with light rain or thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity levels are limiting insolation and promoting convective cloud cover, which caps daytime maxima near the 30°C threshold. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C because small differences in timing or intensity of showers could shift the daily high by 1°C, while historical September averages hover around 28–29°C. Updated model guidance and official 48-hour forecasts from the National Meteorological Center will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,714Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high of 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 3, with light rain or thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity levels are limiting insolation and promoting convective cloud cover, which caps daytime maxima near the 30°C threshold. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C because small differences in timing or intensity of showers could shift the daily high by 1°C, while historical September averages hover around 28–29°C. Updated model guidance and official 48-hour forecasts from the National Meteorological Center will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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