Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional outlooks project a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for Toronto on September 7, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.4°C and typical early-September conditions under moderate high pressure. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for outcomes around 13–15°C, while the notable 45.5% probability assigned to 10°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, potential model spread in overnight radiative cooling, and minor steering influences from a passing trough. No major weather systems or anomalies have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to seasonal norms ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Toronto no dia 7 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Toronto no dia 7 de setembro?
10°C ou menos 91%
20°C ou mais 59%
14°C 50%
11°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
10°C ou menos
91%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
17%
18°C
43%
19°C
43%
20°C ou mais
59%
10°C ou menos 91%
20°C ou mais 59%
14°C 50%
11°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
10°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
91%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
17%
18°C
$0 Vol.
43%
19°C
$0 Vol.
43%
20°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional outlooks project a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for Toronto on September 7, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.4°C and typical early-September conditions under moderate high pressure. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for outcomes around 13–15°C, while the notable 45.5% probability assigned to 10°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, potential model spread in overnight radiative cooling, and minor steering influences from a passing trough. No major weather systems or anomalies have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to seasonal norms ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional outlooks project a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for Toronto on September 7, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.4°C and typical early-September conditions under moderate high pressure. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for outcomes around 13–15°C, while the notable 45.5% probability assigned to 10°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, potential model spread in overnight radiative cooling, and minor steering influences from a passing trough. No major weather systems or anomalies have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to seasonal norms ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional outlooks project a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for Toronto on September 7, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.4°C and typical early-September conditions under moderate high pressure. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for outcomes around 13–15°C, while the notable 45.5% probability assigned to 10°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges, potential model spread in overnight radiative cooling, and minor steering influences from a passing trough. No major weather systems or anomalies have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to seasonal norms ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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