Recent weather models from sources including DWD, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a high near 24°C in Munich on September 6 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover that supports strong daytime solar heating. This setup follows scattered showers on September 5, leaving drier air in place. The projected maximum sits modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.2°C for the date, with most runs clustering between 23–25°C and little model spread. Traders have priced the 24°C outcome at 51% implied probability, reflecting this stable late-summer pattern and the limited upside risk from any unexpected warming or wind shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 6 de setembro?
24°C 51%
25°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 4%
$17,306 Vol.
$17,306 Vol.
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
51%
25°C
20%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C ou mais
3%
24°C 51%
25°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 4%
$17,306 Vol.
$17,306 Vol.
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
51%
25°C
20%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models from sources including DWD, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a high near 24°C in Munich on September 6 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover that supports strong daytime solar heating. This setup follows scattered showers on September 5, leaving drier air in place. The projected maximum sits modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.2°C for the date, with most runs clustering between 23–25°C and little model spread. Traders have priced the 24°C outcome at 51% implied probability, reflecting this stable late-summer pattern and the limited upside risk from any unexpected warming or wind shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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