**Trader consensus favors a 24°C high for Mexico City on September 6, reflecting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance of 24–26°C maxima amid widespread cloud cover and showers.** Recent model runs and observations indicate persistent moisture from Pacific tropical systems and monsoon influences will limit solar heating, keeping afternoon temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of 23–24°C. This aligns with the elevated implied probabilities for 23–25°C outcomes, as forecasters anticipate only modest warming under mostly overcast skies with intervals of rain. Historical September data show similar conditions typically cap highs in this range, with deviations hinging on the exact timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated SMN briefings and next model cycles will provide the key data points for any shifts in these market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 6 de setembro?
24°C 44%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C ou mais 7%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
16°C ou menos
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
20%
24°C
44%
25°C
29%
26°C ou mais
7%
24°C 44%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C ou mais 7%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$66 Vol.
6%
23°C
$79 Vol.
20%
24°C
$224 Vol.
44%
25°C
$385 Vol.
29%
26°C ou mais
$170 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favors a 24°C high for Mexico City on September 6, reflecting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance of 24–26°C maxima amid widespread cloud cover and showers.** Recent model runs and observations indicate persistent moisture from Pacific tropical systems and monsoon influences will limit solar heating, keeping afternoon temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of 23–24°C. This aligns with the elevated implied probabilities for 23–25°C outcomes, as forecasters anticipate only modest warming under mostly overcast skies with intervals of rain. Historical September data show similar conditions typically cap highs in this range, with deviations hinging on the exact timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated SMN briefings and next model cycles will provide the key data points for any shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$925Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favors a 24°C high for Mexico City on September 6, reflecting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance of 24–26°C maxima amid widespread cloud cover and showers.** Recent model runs and observations indicate persistent moisture from Pacific tropical systems and monsoon influences will limit solar heating, keeping afternoon temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of 23–24°C. This aligns with the elevated implied probabilities for 23–25°C outcomes, as forecasters anticipate only modest warming under mostly overcast skies with intervals of rain. Historical September data show similar conditions typically cap highs in this range, with deviations hinging on the exact timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated SMN briefings and next model cycles will provide the key data points for any shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$925Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus favors a 24°C high for Mexico City on September 6, reflecting official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance of 24–26°C maxima amid widespread cloud cover and showers.** Recent model runs and observations indicate persistent moisture from Pacific tropical systems and monsoon influences will limit solar heating, keeping afternoon temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of 23–24°C. This aligns with the elevated implied probabilities for 23–25°C outcomes, as forecasters anticipate only modest warming under mostly overcast skies with intervals of rain. Historical September data show similar conditions typically cap highs in this range, with deviations hinging on the exact timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated SMN briefings and next model cycles will provide the key data points for any shifts in these market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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