Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights a ridge of high pressure dominating the Korean Peninsula through September 4, 2026, with northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover favoring daytime radiative heating. Model consensus projects maximum temperatures of 28–30 °C at Incheon International Airport and central Seoul stations, consistent with observed 29–31 °C readings on September 2–3 and slightly above the long-term early-September climatological mean near 27 °C. Light winds (5–10 m/s) and dew points in the mid-teens °C will limit mixing and moisture, keeping the daily peak narrowly focused on the 29–30 °C range that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. Updated model runs and official briefings expected on September 3 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 4 de setembro?
30°C 47%
29°C 29%
31°C 16%
28°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
29%
30°C
47%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C ou mais
1%
30°C 47%
29°C 29%
31°C 16%
28°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$291 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$191 Vol.
1%
27°C
$81 Vol.
3%
28°C
$25 Vol.
5%
29°C
$165 Vol.
29%
30°C
$621 Vol.
47%
31°C
$408 Vol.
16%
32°C
$38 Vol.
4%
33°C ou mais
$80 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights a ridge of high pressure dominating the Korean Peninsula through September 4, 2026, with northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover favoring daytime radiative heating. Model consensus projects maximum temperatures of 28–30 °C at Incheon International Airport and central Seoul stations, consistent with observed 29–31 °C readings on September 2–3 and slightly above the long-term early-September climatological mean near 27 °C. Light winds (5–10 m/s) and dew points in the mid-teens °C will limit mixing and moisture, keeping the daily peak narrowly focused on the 29–30 °C range that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. Updated model runs and official briefings expected on September 3 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,385Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights a ridge of high pressure dominating the Korean Peninsula through September 4, 2026, with northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover favoring daytime radiative heating. Model consensus projects maximum temperatures of 28–30 °C at Incheon International Airport and central Seoul stations, consistent with observed 29–31 °C readings on September 2–3 and slightly above the long-term early-September climatological mean near 27 °C. Light winds (5–10 m/s) and dew points in the mid-teens °C will limit mixing and moisture, keeping the daily peak narrowly focused on the 29–30 °C range that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. Updated model runs and official briefings expected on September 3 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,385Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights a ridge of high pressure dominating the Korean Peninsula through September 4, 2026, with northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover favoring daytime radiative heating. Model consensus projects maximum temperatures of 28–30 °C at Incheon International Airport and central Seoul stations, consistent with observed 29–31 °C readings on September 2–3 and slightly above the long-term early-September climatological mean near 27 °C. Light winds (5–10 m/s) and dew points in the mid-teens °C will limit mixing and moisture, keeping the daily peak narrowly focused on the 29–30 °C range that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. Updated model runs and official briefings expected on September 3 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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