**Recent model consensus and observational trends position 21°C as the leading outcome for Moscow’s September 2 high, with 22°C and 20°C close behind.** Forecasts from multiple sources (including Worldmeteo, Yandex Weather, and European models) show Tuesday’s warmer southerly flow yielding to cooler westerly air on Wednesday, producing daytime maxima of 20–22°C under variable cloud cover and a chance of light showers. This cooling follows peak readings near 26–27°C on September 1 and aligns with seasonal September averages of roughly 18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, as ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the low-20s threshold, with only modest upside risk if clearer skies allow additional heating. Resolution will hinge on official Roshydromet or Moscow station readings, with final model runs and satellite data expected to tighten the distribution before the market settles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 2 de setembro?
21°C 47%
22°C 25%
20°C 17%
19°C 4%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
17%
21°C
47%
22°C
25%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 47%
22°C 25%
20°C 17%
19°C 4%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
17%
21°C
47%
22°C
25%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus and observational trends position 21°C as the leading outcome for Moscow’s September 2 high, with 22°C and 20°C close behind.** Forecasts from multiple sources (including Worldmeteo, Yandex Weather, and European models) show Tuesday’s warmer southerly flow yielding to cooler westerly air on Wednesday, producing daytime maxima of 20–22°C under variable cloud cover and a chance of light showers. This cooling follows peak readings near 26–27°C on September 1 and aligns with seasonal September averages of roughly 18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, as ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the low-20s threshold, with only modest upside risk if clearer skies allow additional heating. Resolution will hinge on official Roshydromet or Moscow station readings, with final model runs and satellite data expected to tighten the distribution before the market settles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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