Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Chengdu on September 2, with light winds and low precipitation chances supporting strong daytime solar heating in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance and ensemble runs cluster the daily maximum around 32–34°C, consistent with early-September climatology where highs often reach the low 30s under similar synoptic setups. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 34°C (35%), 33°C (24.5%), and 35°C (23.5%) contracts aligns with this narrow range, while lower or higher outcomes remain discounted absent significant shifts in moisture or cloud cover ahead of resolution. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 2 de setembro?
34°C 35%
33°C 25%
35°C 24%
32°C 12%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
25%
34°C
35%
35°C
24%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 35%
33°C 25%
35°C 24%
32°C 12%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
25%
34°C
35%
35°C
24%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Chengdu on September 2, with light winds and low precipitation chances supporting strong daytime solar heating in the Sichuan basin. Official guidance and ensemble runs cluster the daily maximum around 32–34°C, consistent with early-September climatology where highs often reach the low 30s under similar synoptic setups. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 34°C (35%), 33°C (24.5%), and 35°C (23.5%) contracts aligns with this narrow range, while lower or higher outcomes remain discounted absent significant shifts in moisture or cloud cover ahead of resolution. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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