Short-range forecast model spreads create the tight clustering around 30–31 °C implied odds for Taipei’s September 4 maximum. Subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and urban heat-island effects typically support afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C, while sea-breeze convergence and possible scattered convection can cap readings at 29 °C. Latest GFS and ECMWF runs show minimal spread in 2-m temperature fields, with ensemble members split between those thresholds; any shift in boundary-layer moisture or timing of cloud cover could tip the outcome. Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration will issue updated guidance through the evening of September 3, providing the final observational constraint before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Taipei no dia 4 de setembro?
30°C 28%
31°C 26%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
NOVO
$14,987 Vol.
NOVO
$14,987 Vol.
4 set 2026
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
28%
31°C
26%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C ou mais
1%
30°C 28%
31°C 26%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
NOVO
$14,987 Vol.
NOVO
$14,987 Vol.
4 set 2026
24°C ou menos
$323 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$129 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,145 Vol.
1%
28°C
$251 Vol.
7%
29°C
$4,649 Vol.
17%
30°C
$2,072 Vol.
28%
31°C
$729 Vol.
26%
32°C
$2,373 Vol.
16%
33°C
$3,067 Vol.
3%
34°C ou mais
$51 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast model spreads create the tight clustering around 30–31 °C implied odds for Taipei’s September 4 maximum. Subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and urban heat-island effects typically support afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C, while sea-breeze convergence and possible scattered convection can cap readings at 29 °C. Latest GFS and ECMWF runs show minimal spread in 2-m temperature fields, with ensemble members split between those thresholds; any shift in boundary-layer moisture or timing of cloud cover could tip the outcome. Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration will issue updated guidance through the evening of September 3, providing the final observational constraint before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$14,987Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast model spreads create the tight clustering around 30–31 °C implied odds for Taipei’s September 4 maximum. Subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and urban heat-island effects typically support afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C, while sea-breeze convergence and possible scattered convection can cap readings at 29 °C. Latest GFS and ECMWF runs show minimal spread in 2-m temperature fields, with ensemble members split between those thresholds; any shift in boundary-layer moisture or timing of cloud cover could tip the outcome. Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration will issue updated guidance through the evening of September 3, providing the final observational constraint before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,987Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast model spreads create the tight clustering around 30–31 °C implied odds for Taipei’s September 4 maximum. Subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and urban heat-island effects typically support afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C, while sea-breeze convergence and possible scattered convection can cap readings at 29 °C. Latest GFS and ECMWF runs show minimal spread in 2-m temperature fields, with ensemble members split between those thresholds; any shift in boundary-layer moisture or timing of cloud cover could tip the outcome. Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration will issue updated guidance through the evening of September 3, providing the final observational constraint before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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