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Desporto·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
Desporto·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 45%

Aaron Judge 20%

Munetaka Murakami 11%

Matt Olson 7.8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Kyle Schwarber 45%

Aaron Judge 20%

Munetaka Murakami 11%

Matt Olson 7.8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Kyle Schwarber

$1,756 Vol.

45%

Aaron Judge

$298 Vol.

27%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,644 Vol.

11%

Matt Olson

$761 Vol.

8%

Yordan Alvarez

$120 Vol.

6%

James Wood

$197 Vol.

5%

Brandon Lowe

$105 Vol.

3%

Shohei Ohtani

$318 Vol.

2%

Jordan Walker

$105 Vol.

2%

Cal Raleigh

$105 Vol.

2%

CJ Abrams

$105 Vol.

1%

Manny Machado

$155 Vol.

1%

Junior Caminero

$105 Vol.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$132 Vol.

1%

Mike Trout

$105 Vol.

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$105 Vol.

1%

Elly De La Cruz

$261 Vol.

1%

Sal Stewart

$105 Vol.

1%

Ben Rice

$155 Vol.

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$105 Vol.

1%

Shea Langeliers

$301 Vol.

1%

Juan Soto

$105 Vol.

1%

Rafael Devers

$105 Vol.

1%

Pete Alonso

$105 Vol.

1%

George Springer

$127 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber has surged into the clear lead for the MLB home run crown with a league-high 20 long balls through mid-May, including a two-homer night that made him the first player to reach that mark in 2026. His elevated slugging percentage and consistent power against right-handed pitching have fueled the Phillies' offense while traders assign him the highest implied probability among contenders. Aaron Judge sits second with 16 homers and strong on-base metrics for the Yankees, keeping him within striking distance despite a slightly slower recent pace. Munetaka Murakami's 15-plus homers for the White Sox and Matt Olson's steady output for the Braves round out the top tier, though injuries or slumps could shift momentum in the coming months of the regular season.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,481
Data de Término
28 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber has surged into the clear lead for the MLB home run crown with a league-high 20 long balls through mid-May, including a two-homer night that made him the first player to reach that mark in 2026. His elevated slugging percentage and consistent power against right-handed pitching have fueled the Phillies' offense while traders assign him the highest implied probability among contenders. Aaron Judge sits second with 16 homers and strong on-base metrics for the Yankees, keeping him within striking distance despite a slightly slower recent pace. Munetaka Murakami's 15-plus homers for the White Sox and Matt Olson's steady output for the Braves round out the top tier, though injuries or slumps could shift momentum in the coming months of the regular season.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,481
Data de Término
28 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kyle Schwarber" at 46%, followed by "Aaron Judge" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: Home Runs Leader," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" is "Kyle Schwarber" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.