Vivek Ramaswamy secured the Republican nomination for Ohio governor with roughly 82 percent of the primary vote on May 5, producing a margin of victory that falls squarely in the 60-70 percent range. Traders have priced this outcome at 99 percent because the former presidential candidate entered the contest with strong party backing, including an endorsement from President Trump, substantial fundraising, and minimal opposition from challenger Casey Putsch. The decisive result reflects Ramaswamy’s ability to consolidate support quickly in a low-turnout primary against a lesser-known opponent. Only an unforeseen recount or certification dispute could realistically alter the recorded margin at this stage, though historical precedent makes such shifts highly improbable in Ohio Republican primaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPrimária Republicana do Governador de Ohio: Margem de Vitória
Primária Republicana do Governador de Ohio: Margem de Vitória
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.2%
Ramaswamy 70%+ 1.1%
Ramaswamy <30% <1%
Ramaswamy 30-40% <1%
$66,212 Vol.
$66,212 Vol.
5 mai 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
99%
Ramaswamy 70%+
1%
Outro
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.2%
Ramaswamy 70%+ 1.1%
Ramaswamy <30% <1%
Ramaswamy 30-40% <1%
$66,212 Vol.
$66,212 Vol.
5 mai 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
$4,024 Vol.
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
$2,310 Vol.
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
$2,770 Vol.
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
$10,690 Vol.
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
$13,477 Vol.
99%
Ramaswamy 70%+
$31,620 Vol.
1%
Outro
$1,321 Vol.
<1%
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Vivek Ramaswamy secured the Republican nomination for Ohio governor with roughly 82 percent of the primary vote on May 5, producing a margin of victory that falls squarely in the 60-70 percent range. Traders have priced this outcome at 99 percent because the former presidential candidate entered the contest with strong party backing, including an endorsement from President Trump, substantial fundraising, and minimal opposition from challenger Casey Putsch. The decisive result reflects Ramaswamy’s ability to consolidate support quickly in a low-turnout primary against a lesser-known opponent. Only an unforeseen recount or certification dispute could realistically alter the recorded margin at this stage, though historical precedent makes such shifts highly improbable in Ohio Republican primaries.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado Aberto: May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Volume
$66,212Data de Término
5 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Vivek Ramaswamy secured the Republican nomination for Ohio governor with roughly 82 percent of the primary vote on May 5, producing a margin of victory that falls squarely in the 60-70 percent range. Traders have priced this outcome at 99 percent because the former presidential candidate entered the contest with strong party backing, including an endorsement from President Trump, substantial fundraising, and minimal opposition from challenger Casey Putsch. The decisive result reflects Ramaswamy’s ability to consolidate support quickly in a low-turnout primary against a lesser-known opponent. Only an unforeseen recount or certification dispute could realistically alter the recorded margin at this stage, though historical precedent makes such shifts highly improbable in Ohio Republican primaries.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$66,212Data de Término
5 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vivek Ramaswamy secured the Republican nomination for Ohio governor with roughly 82 percent of the primary vote on May 5, producing a margin of victory that falls squarely in the 60-70 percent range. Traders have priced this outcome at 99 percent because the former presidential candidate entered the contest with strong party backing, including an endorsement from President Trump, substantial fundraising, and minimal opposition from challenger Casey Putsch. The decisive result reflects Ramaswamy’s ability to consolidate support quickly in a low-turnout primary against a lesser-known opponent. Only an unforeseen recount or certification dispute could realistically alter the recorded margin at this stage, though historical precedent makes such shifts highly improbable in Ohio Republican primaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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