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icon for Primária Republicana do Governador de Ohio: Margem de Vitória

Primária Republicana do Governador de Ohio: Margem de Vitória

icon for Primária Republicana do Governador de Ohio: Margem de Vitória

Primária Republicana do Governador de Ohio: Margem de Vitória

Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.4%

Ramaswamy 50-60% 5.2%

Ramaswamy 70%+ <1%

Ramaswamy <30% <1%

Polymarket

$66,264 Vol.

Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.4%

Ramaswamy 50-60% 5.2%

Ramaswamy 70%+ <1%

Ramaswamy <30% <1%

Polymarket

$66,264 Vol.

Ramaswamy <30%

$4,024 Vol.

<1%

Ramaswamy 30-40%

$2,310 Vol.

<1%

Ramaswamy 40-50%

$2,770 Vol.

<1%

Ramaswamy 50-60%

$10,742 Vol.

5%

Ramaswamy 60-70%

$13,477 Vol.

99%

Ramaswamy 70%+

$31,620 Vol.

1%

Outro

$1,321 Vol.

<1%

The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Trader consensus in the Ohio Governor Republican primary market strongly favors Vivek Ramaswamy finishing with 60 to 70 percent of the vote. This outlook reflects his established statewide profile from the 2024 presidential race, heavy financial backing that has dominated advertising and organization, and key endorsements from party leaders. His sole notable opponent, Casey Putsch, remains a low-visibility challenger with limited resources and appeal, keeping the race from tightening in recent weeks. A narrower or wider margin could still emerge if turnout surges unexpectedly among Putsch supporters or if fresh controversies surface in the final days before May 5 voting.

The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.

If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$66,264
Data de Término
5 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Trader consensus in the Ohio Governor Republican primary market strongly favors Vivek Ramaswamy finishing with 60 to 70 percent of the vote. This outlook reflects his established statewide profile from the 2024 presidential race, heavy financial backing that has dominated advertising and organization, and key endorsements from party leaders. His sole notable opponent, Casey Putsch, remains a low-visibility challenger with limited resources and appeal, keeping the race from tightening in recent weeks. A narrower or wider margin could still emerge if turnout surges unexpectedly among Putsch supporters or if fresh controversies surface in the final days before May 5 voting.

The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.

If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$66,264
Data de Término
5 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Primária Republicana do Governador de Ohio: Margem de Vitória" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ramaswamy 60-70%" at 99%, followed by "Ramaswamy 50-60%" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Primária Republicana do Governador de Ohio: Margem de Vitória" has generated $66.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Primária Republicana do Governador de Ohio: Margem de Vitória," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primária Republicana do Governador de Ohio: Margem de Vitória" is "Ramaswamy 60-70%" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ramaswamy 50-60%" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primária Republicana do Governador de Ohio: Margem de Vitória" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.