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Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?

icon for Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?

Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?

Aumento 100.0%

Diminuir <1%

Sem Alteração <1%

Polymarket

$19,221 Vol.

Aumento 100.0%

Diminuir <1%

Sem Alteração <1%

Polymarket

$19,221 Vol.

Diminuir

$4,528 Vol.

Não

Sem Alteração

$6,786 Vol.

Não

Aumento

$7,907 Vol.

Sim

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The South African Reserve Bank’s May 28 Monetary Policy Committee decision carries near-certain market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point repo rate hike to 7.00%, driven primarily by April CPI rising to 4.0%—at the upper end of the 3% target band—along with fuel inflation exceeding 18% amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. After holding the rate at 6.75% in March, the MPC revised 2026 inflation forecasts upward to 3.7% and signaled fewer expected cuts, reflecting sustained upside risks from energy prices and potential second-round effects. This hawkish shift aligns trader consensus with the need to anchor expectations ahead of second-quarter price pressures. A significantly softer May inflation print or rapid de-escalation in global energy markets could still support a hold, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the data trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$19,221
Data de Término
28 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The South African Reserve Bank’s May 28 Monetary Policy Committee decision carries near-certain market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point repo rate hike to 7.00%, driven primarily by April CPI rising to 4.0%—at the upper end of the 3% target band—along with fuel inflation exceeding 18% amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. After holding the rate at 6.75% in March, the MPC revised 2026 inflation forecasts upward to 3.7% and signaled fewer expected cuts, reflecting sustained upside risks from energy prices and potential second-round effects. This hawkish shift aligns trader consensus with the need to anchor expectations ahead of second-quarter price pressures. A significantly softer May inflation print or rapid de-escalation in global energy markets could still support a hold, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the data trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$19,221
Data de Término
28 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aumento" at 100%, followed by "Diminuir" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?" has generated $19.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?" is "Aumento" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Diminuir" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.