Recent June 2026 CPI data showed South African headline inflation accelerating to 5.0% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2024, propelled by a 12.7% jump in transportation costs amid a 34.3% fuel price spike tied to global energy pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s May forecast pegs 2026 average inflation at 4.4%, with core measures at 4.1%, while the policy rate sits at 7%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 4.1–4.7% range, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel-driven pressures will ease or persist into year-end amid upcoming July CPI and potential monetary policy adjustments. Key swing factors include oil price volatility, rand movements, and food price trends that could shift readings toward or away from the SARB’s projection.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInflação Anual da África do Sul 2026
Inflação Anual da África do Sul 2026
4,1-4,4% 29.6%
4,4-4,7% 22.1%
3,8-4,1% 14.7%
>5,0% 8.8%
$39,925 Vol.
$39,925 Vol.
20 jan 2027
<2,6%
<1%
2,6-2,9%
<1%
2,9-3,2%
3%
3,2-3,5%
3%
3,5-3,8%
4%
3,8-4,1%
15%
4,1-4,4%
30%
4,4-4,7%
22%
4,7-5,0%
8%
>5,0%
9%
4,1-4,4% 29.6%
4,4-4,7% 22.1%
3,8-4,1% 14.7%
>5,0% 8.8%
$39,925 Vol.
$39,925 Vol.
20 jan 2027
<2,6%
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
2,6-2,9%
$1,854 Vol.
<1%
2,9-3,2%
$1,564 Vol.
3%
3,2-3,5%
$1,245 Vol.
3%
3,5-3,8%
$1,798 Vol.
4%
3,8-4,1%
$3,106 Vol.
15%
4,1-4,4%
$2,590 Vol.
30%
4,4-4,7%
$14,940 Vol.
22%
4,7-5,0%
$3,372 Vol.
8%
>5,0%
$8,236 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent June 2026 CPI data showed South African headline inflation accelerating to 5.0% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2024, propelled by a 12.7% jump in transportation costs amid a 34.3% fuel price spike tied to global energy pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s May forecast pegs 2026 average inflation at 4.4%, with core measures at 4.1%, while the policy rate sits at 7%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 4.1–4.7% range, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel-driven pressures will ease or persist into year-end amid upcoming July CPI and potential monetary policy adjustments. Key swing factors include oil price volatility, rand movements, and food price trends that could shift readings toward or away from the SARB’s projection.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Mercado Aberto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$39,925Data de Término
20 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent June 2026 CPI data showed South African headline inflation accelerating to 5.0% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2024, propelled by a 12.7% jump in transportation costs amid a 34.3% fuel price spike tied to global energy pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s May forecast pegs 2026 average inflation at 4.4%, with core measures at 4.1%, while the policy rate sits at 7%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 4.1–4.7% range, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel-driven pressures will ease or persist into year-end amid upcoming July CPI and potential monetary policy adjustments. Key swing factors include oil price volatility, rand movements, and food price trends that could shift readings toward or away from the SARB’s projection.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volume
$39,925Data de Término
20 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent June 2026 CPI data showed South African headline inflation accelerating to 5.0% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2024, propelled by a 12.7% jump in transportation costs amid a 34.3% fuel price spike tied to global energy pressures. The South African Reserve Bank’s May forecast pegs 2026 average inflation at 4.4%, with core measures at 4.1%, while the policy rate sits at 7%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 4.1–4.7% range, reflecting uncertainty over whether fuel-driven pressures will ease or persist into year-end amid upcoming July CPI and potential monetary policy adjustments. Key swing factors include oil price volatility, rand movements, and food price trends that could shift readings toward or away from the SARB’s projection.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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