Bank of Canada projections updated in the July 2026 Monetary Policy Report form the central driver behind current Polymarket odds, with the institution lifting its 2026 CPI forecast to 2.5% while signaling inflation will remain near the 2% target midpoint over the medium term. Recent data reinforce this path: headline inflation cooled to 2.8% year-over-year in June from 3.2% in May, driven by softer gasoline prices, while core measures (CPI-trim and median) fell to 1.8–1.9%. Subdued economic growth, a policy rate held steady at 2.25%, and expectations that energy volatility will ease further support trader positioning around the 2.5–2.9% outcome. The July CPI release scheduled for August 17 represents the next near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInflação Anual do Canadá 2026
Inflação Anual do Canadá 2026
2,5–2,9% 39.9%
2,0–2,4% 18.7%
1,5–1,9% 15.3%
3,0-3,4% 15.2%
$38,063 Vol.
$38,063 Vol.
18 jan 2027
<1,0%
3%
1,0–1,4%
5%
1,5–1,9%
15%
2,0–2,4%
16%
2,5–2,9%
40%
3,0-3,4%
15%
3,5-3,9%
13%
4,0%+
5%
2,5–2,9% 39.9%
2,0–2,4% 18.7%
1,5–1,9% 15.3%
3,0-3,4% 15.2%
$38,063 Vol.
$38,063 Vol.
18 jan 2027
<1,0%
$1,081 Vol.
3%
1,0–1,4%
$5,268 Vol.
5%
1,5–1,9%
$3,350 Vol.
15%
2,0–2,4%
$1,066 Vol.
16%
2,5–2,9%
$9,552 Vol.
40%
3,0-3,4%
$13,753 Vol.
15%
3,5-3,9%
$3,511 Vol.
13%
4,0%+
$482 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Bank of Canada projections updated in the July 2026 Monetary Policy Report form the central driver behind current Polymarket odds, with the institution lifting its 2026 CPI forecast to 2.5% while signaling inflation will remain near the 2% target midpoint over the medium term. Recent data reinforce this path: headline inflation cooled to 2.8% year-over-year in June from 3.2% in May, driven by softer gasoline prices, while core measures (CPI-trim and median) fell to 1.8–1.9%. Subdued economic growth, a policy rate held steady at 2.25%, and expectations that energy volatility will ease further support trader positioning around the 2.5–2.9% outcome. The July CPI release scheduled for August 17 represents the next near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$38,063Data de Término
18 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Bank of Canada projections updated in the July 2026 Monetary Policy Report form the central driver behind current Polymarket odds, with the institution lifting its 2026 CPI forecast to 2.5% while signaling inflation will remain near the 2% target midpoint over the medium term. Recent data reinforce this path: headline inflation cooled to 2.8% year-over-year in June from 3.2% in May, driven by softer gasoline prices, while core measures (CPI-trim and median) fell to 1.8–1.9%. Subdued economic growth, a policy rate held steady at 2.25%, and expectations that energy volatility will ease further support trader positioning around the 2.5–2.9% outcome. The July CPI release scheduled for August 17 represents the next near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$38,063Data de Término
18 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bank of Canada projections updated in the July 2026 Monetary Policy Report form the central driver behind current Polymarket odds, with the institution lifting its 2026 CPI forecast to 2.5% while signaling inflation will remain near the 2% target midpoint over the medium term. Recent data reinforce this path: headline inflation cooled to 2.8% year-over-year in June from 3.2% in May, driven by softer gasoline prices, while core measures (CPI-trim and median) fell to 1.8–1.9%. Subdued economic growth, a policy rate held steady at 2.25%, and expectations that energy volatility will ease further support trader positioning around the 2.5–2.9% outcome. The July CPI release scheduled for August 17 represents the next near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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