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Indicadores Macro previsões e probabilidades

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Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

59%

No change

$108K Vol.

$171K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

52%

3.8%

$547K Vol.

$168K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

20%

Above 4.5%

$1M Vol.

$72.1K Liq.

34

Ends em 6 meses

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

66%

4.6-4.9%

$98.6K Vol.

$65.9K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

29%

↑ 4.25%

$2M Vol.

$146K Liq.

11

Ends em 6 meses

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

59%

25 bps decrease

$6.3K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

78%

No change

$5.4K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

45%

4.3%

$5.7K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

55%

25 bps increase

$8.0K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

33%

0-1.0%

$9.3K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

June Inflation US - Monthly

June Inflation US - Monthly

96%

≤0.1%

$8.0K Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Argentina Monthly Inflation - June

Argentina Monthly Inflation - June

43%

1.8-2.0%

$3.7K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Price of Dozen Eggs in June?

Price of Dozen Eggs in June?

86%

$2.00–$2.25

$5.3K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

18%

5.0%

$456K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

16

Ends em 6 meses

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

25%

2.0–2.5%

$8.4K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

83%

Up

$25.6K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Bank of England decision in September?

Bank of England decision in September?

94%

No change

$5.8K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

79%

4.0–5.0%

$725K Vol.

$150K Liq.

13

Ends há 5 meses

June Inflation UK - Annual

June Inflation UK - Annual

30%

2.2-2.4%

$9.8K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

49%

3.1%

$18.2K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 49 active markets for Indicadores Macro that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed Decision in October?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

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As of today, the most active market is “What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 29% chance to ↑ 4.25%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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