Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 67% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 compared to 2025, driven primarily by aggressive AI-driven workforce restructuring at major firms. Year-to-date figures already exceed 135,000 job cuts across 300+ companies—surpassing much of 2025's total of around 165,000—fueled by April's record 45,000+ eliminations and May's 25,000 losses from PayPal, Cisco, Cloudflare, and others pivoting capital toward AI infrastructure and data centers. While overall U.S. layoffs have declined, tech's surge stems from automation displacing roles in software engineering and operations, with Microsoft voluntary retirements and Meta's additional planned cuts looming as key catalysts that could accelerate the upward trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoDemissões de tecnologia para cima ou para baixo em 2026?
Demissões de tecnologia para cima ou para baixo em 2026?
Aumentarão
$25,123 Vol.
$25,123 Vol.
28 fev 2027
Aumentarão
$25,123 Vol.
$25,123 Vol.
28 fev 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 67% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 compared to 2025, driven primarily by aggressive AI-driven workforce restructuring at major firms. Year-to-date figures already exceed 135,000 job cuts across 300+ companies—surpassing much of 2025's total of around 165,000—fueled by April's record 45,000+ eliminations and May's 25,000 losses from PayPal, Cisco, Cloudflare, and others pivoting capital toward AI infrastructure and data centers. While overall U.S. layoffs have declined, tech's surge stems from automation displacing roles in software engineering and operations, with Microsoft voluntary retirements and Meta's additional planned cuts looming as key catalysts that could accelerate the upward trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volume
$25,123Data de Término
28 fev 2027Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 67% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 compared to 2025, driven primarily by aggressive AI-driven workforce restructuring at major firms. Year-to-date figures already exceed 135,000 job cuts across 300+ companies—surpassing much of 2025's total of around 165,000—fueled by April's record 45,000+ eliminations and May's 25,000 losses from PayPal, Cisco, Cloudflare, and others pivoting capital toward AI infrastructure and data centers. While overall U.S. layoffs have declined, tech's surge stems from automation displacing roles in software engineering and operations, with Microsoft voluntary retirements and Meta's additional planned cuts looming as key catalysts that could accelerate the upward trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$25,123Data de Término
28 fev 2027Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 67% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 compared to 2025, driven primarily by aggressive AI-driven workforce restructuring at major firms. Year-to-date figures already exceed 135,000 job cuts across 300+ companies—surpassing much of 2025's total of around 165,000—fueled by April's record 45,000+ eliminations and May's 25,000 losses from PayPal, Cisco, Cloudflare, and others pivoting capital toward AI infrastructure and data centers. While overall U.S. layoffs have declined, tech's surge stems from automation displacing roles in software engineering and operations, with Microsoft voluntary retirements and Meta's additional planned cuts looming as key catalysts that could accelerate the upward trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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