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TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Justin Pearson 50%

Steve Cohen 32%

DeVante Hill 5.8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Justin Pearson 50%

Steve Cohen 32%

DeVante Hill 5.8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Justin Pearson

$1,856 Vol.

50%

Steve Cohen

$5,092 Vol.

32%

DeVante Hill

$515 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Justin Pearson leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary, buoyed by his progressive profile as a Tennessee Three figure expelled then re-elected for gun reform advocacy, and recent leadership in challenging Republican redistricting that dilutes the majority-Black Memphis district. Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen trails at 23%, facing a generational change push highlighted in national coverage, despite his long tenure. Community activist DeVante Hill holds 12% amid a crowded field. Tennessee House GOP approved the contested maps last week, spurring lawsuits and press conferences by both frontrunners; candidate filing closes May 15 ahead of the August 6 primary, with turnout in key voting blocs pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,463
Data de Término
6 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Justin Pearson leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary, buoyed by his progressive profile as a Tennessee Three figure expelled then re-elected for gun reform advocacy, and recent leadership in challenging Republican redistricting that dilutes the majority-Black Memphis district. Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen trails at 23%, facing a generational change push highlighted in national coverage, despite his long tenure. Community activist DeVante Hill holds 12% amid a crowded field. Tennessee House GOP approved the contested maps last week, spurring lawsuits and press conferences by both frontrunners; candidate filing closes May 15 ahead of the August 6 primary, with turnout in key voting blocs pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,463
Data de Término
6 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Justin Pearson" at 50%, followed by "Steve Cohen" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Justin Pearson" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Steve Cohen" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.