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icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

NOVO
31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$4,307 Vol.

Polymarket

Ariana Grande

$50 Vol.

85%

Taylor Swift

$218 Vol.

34%

Olivia Rodrigo

$68 Vol.

30%

Beyoncé

$0 Vol.

28%

Gracie Abrams

$0 Vol.

28%

The Weeknd

$0 Vol.

27%

Olivia Dean

$0 Vol.

15%

Bad Bunny

$1 Vol.

10%

Bruno Mars

$0 Vol.

8%

Alex Warren

$71 Vol.

2%

Don Toliver

$0 Vol.

1%

Kanye West

$52 Vol.

1%

Noah Kahan

$759 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Recent chart performance and streaming momentum are shaping expectations for May Billboard Hot 100 leaders, with Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” extending its nine-week reign through strong country radio and streaming support while Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead” challenges from the top spot on the May 16 chart. Bruno Mars continues to climb with “I Just Might,” benefiting from consistent airplay, and new entries like Tame Impala and JENNIE’s “Dracula” remix signal potential late-month surges. Upcoming album releases from Kacey Musgraves and Chris Brown in early May could introduce fresh contenders, though historical patterns show established hits often hold through month-end unless a major promotional push or viral moment shifts trajectories. Traders watch weekly chart updates closely as competition intensifies.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volume
$4,307
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Recent chart performance and streaming momentum are shaping expectations for May Billboard Hot 100 leaders, with Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” extending its nine-week reign through strong country radio and streaming support while Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead” challenges from the top spot on the May 16 chart. Bruno Mars continues to climb with “I Just Might,” benefiting from consistent airplay, and new entries like Tame Impala and JENNIE’s “Dracula” remix signal potential late-month surges. Upcoming album releases from Kacey Musgraves and Chris Brown in early May could introduce fresh contenders, though historical patterns show established hits often hold through month-end unless a major promotional push or viral moment shifts trajectories. Traders watch weekly chart updates closely as competition intensifies.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volume
$4,307
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Drake" at 100%, followed by "Ariana Grande" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" is "Drake" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ariana Grande" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which artists will have #1 hits in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.