Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, particularly the April 2026 decision limiting the Voting Rights Act's requirements for majority-minority districts in cases like Louisiana v. Callais, have accelerated mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterms. Republican-led legislatures in states such as Texas, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Tennessee enacted new maps through special sessions, often shifting seats toward GOP-leaning districts, while California voters approved Democratic-drawn lines via ballot measure. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, plus potential further challenges in Tennessee, continues to shape which maps will govern candidate filing, primaries, and the November elections. These developments reflect partisan efforts to adjust electoral boundaries before the next decennial census.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$262,781 Vol.
California
97%
Texas
94%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
94%
Utah
88%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
90%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
80%
South Carolina
79%
Georgia
14%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
5%
$262,781 Vol.
California
97%
Texas
94%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
94%
Utah
88%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
90%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
80%
South Carolina
79%
Georgia
14%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
5%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, particularly the April 2026 decision limiting the Voting Rights Act's requirements for majority-minority districts in cases like Louisiana v. Callais, have accelerated mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterms. Republican-led legislatures in states such as Texas, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Tennessee enacted new maps through special sessions, often shifting seats toward GOP-leaning districts, while California voters approved Democratic-drawn lines via ballot measure. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, plus potential further challenges in Tennessee, continues to shape which maps will govern candidate filing, primaries, and the November elections. These developments reflect partisan efforts to adjust electoral boundaries before the next decennial census.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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