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Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?

icon for Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?
Desporto·Mma

Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?

Carlos Ulberg 72%

Jiří Procházka 5.4%

Magomed Ankalaev 4.3%

Alex Pereira 3.7%

Polymarket

$20,709 Vol.

Carlos Ulberg 72%

Jiří Procházka 5.4%

Magomed Ankalaev 4.3%

Alex Pereira 3.7%

Polymarket

$20,709 Vol.

Carlos Ulberg

$3,272 Vol.

72%

Jiří Procházka

$2,895 Vol.

9%

Magomed Ankalaev

$753 Vol.

13%

Alex Pereira

$4,373 Vol.

4%

Dominick Reyes

$6,777 Vol.

3%

Volkan Oezdemir

$115 Vol.

7%

Bogdan Guskov

$209 Vol.

10%

Khalil Rountree Jr.

$608 Vol.

1%

Jamahal Hill

$496 Vol.

1%

Azamat Murzakanov

$877 Vol.

1%

Jan Błachowicz

$335 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Carlos Ulberg captured the UFC light heavyweight title with a first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 in April 2026, establishing him as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for holding the belt through year-end. His subsequent knee injury, which may require surgery and sideline him into 2027, has introduced uncertainty around an immediate defense and potential interim title bouts, yet the market still prices him heavily due to his recent win streak and division-wide instability. Magomed Ankalaev, a former champion with strong historical positioning, sits as the next most likely outcome amid his recovery from a prior loss, while contenders like Bogdan Guskov and Volkan Oezdemir remain further back given limited recent momentum or title-shot clarity. Alex Pereira’s shift to heavyweight has further opened opportunities in the 205-pound class, though the overall landscape remains fluid pending Ulberg’s health timeline and upcoming matchmaking.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$20,709
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Carlos Ulberg captured the UFC light heavyweight title with a first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 in April 2026, establishing him as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for holding the belt through year-end. His subsequent knee injury, which may require surgery and sideline him into 2027, has introduced uncertainty around an immediate defense and potential interim title bouts, yet the market still prices him heavily due to his recent win streak and division-wide instability. Magomed Ankalaev, a former champion with strong historical positioning, sits as the next most likely outcome amid his recovery from a prior loss, while contenders like Bogdan Guskov and Volkan Oezdemir remain further back given limited recent momentum or title-shot clarity. Alex Pereira’s shift to heavyweight has further opened opportunities in the 205-pound class, though the overall landscape remains fluid pending Ulberg’s health timeline and upcoming matchmaking.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$20,709
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Ulberg" at 72%, followed by "Magomed Ankalaev" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" has generated $20.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Carlos Ulberg" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Magomed Ankalaev" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.