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Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?

icon for Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?
Desporto·Mma

Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?

Carlos Ulberg 73%

Magomed Ankalaev 14.7%

Jiří Procházka 5.4%

Alex Pereira 5.1%

Polymarket

$20,826 Vol.

Carlos Ulberg 73%

Magomed Ankalaev 14.7%

Jiří Procházka 5.4%

Alex Pereira 5.1%

Polymarket

$20,826 Vol.

Carlos Ulberg

$3,381 Vol.

73%

Magomed Ankalaev

$760 Vol.

15%

Jiří Procházka

$2,895 Vol.

11%

Alex Pereira

$4,373 Vol.

5%

Jamahal Hill

$496 Vol.

3%

Dominick Reyes

$6,777 Vol.

3%

Khalil Rountree Jr.

$608 Vol.

1%

Volkan Oezdemir

$115 Vol.

7%

Bogdan Guskov

$209 Vol.

10%

Azamat Murzakanov

$877 Vol.

<1%

Jan Błachowicz

$335 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Carlos Ulberg captured the vacant UFC light heavyweight title with a first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 in April 2026, despite suffering a torn ACL mid-fight that requires surgery and sidelines him through at least early 2027. Trader consensus reflects this timeline in his 72.5% implied probability, as the division lacks immediate high-level challengers positioned for a title shot before year-end. Magomed Ankalaev sits at 14.4% following his prior championship reign and recent setbacks, while Bogdan Guskov and Procházka hover near 10% amid inconsistent recent form and limited activity. Lower-probability names like Volkan Oezdemir and Jamahal Hill trail further due to ranking gaps and recovery or stylistic factors that have slowed their momentum in the division.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$20,826
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Carlos Ulberg captured the vacant UFC light heavyweight title with a first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 in April 2026, despite suffering a torn ACL mid-fight that requires surgery and sidelines him through at least early 2027. Trader consensus reflects this timeline in his 72.5% implied probability, as the division lacks immediate high-level challengers positioned for a title shot before year-end. Magomed Ankalaev sits at 14.4% following his prior championship reign and recent setbacks, while Bogdan Guskov and Procházka hover near 10% amid inconsistent recent form and limited activity. Lower-probability names like Volkan Oezdemir and Jamahal Hill trail further due to ranking gaps and recovery or stylistic factors that have slowed their momentum in the division.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$20,826
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Ulberg" at 73%, followed by "Magomed Ankalaev" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" has generated $20.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Carlos Ulberg" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Magomed Ankalaev" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão dos meio-pesados do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.