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Desporto·Copa Do Mundo FIFA 2026

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

icon for Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Desporto·Copa Do Mundo FIFA 2026

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

88% chance
Polymarket

$135,524 Vol.

88% chance
Polymarket

$135,524 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran has secured qualification for the 2026 FIFA World Cup through its results in AFC Group A, including a decisive draw with Uzbekistan that locked in its spot for a fourth consecutive appearance. FIFA President Gianni Infantino has repeatedly stated that the team will compete, with all group-stage matches scheduled on U.S. soil in Group G. Iranian officials have affirmed they will participate while seeking guarantees on visas, security, and respectful treatment of the delegation, flag, and anthem amid ongoing regional tensions. These developments, combined with the absence of any formal withdrawal or exclusion by FIFA or the hosts, underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Scheduled meetings between the Iranian federation and FIFA in the coming days are the next key milestones before the June kickoff.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$135,524
Data de Término
2 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran has secured qualification for the 2026 FIFA World Cup through its results in AFC Group A, including a decisive draw with Uzbekistan that locked in its spot for a fourth consecutive appearance. FIFA President Gianni Infantino has repeatedly stated that the team will compete, with all group-stage matches scheduled on U.S. soil in Group G. Iranian officials have affirmed they will participate while seeking guarantees on visas, security, and respectful treatment of the delegation, flag, and anthem amid ongoing regional tensions. These developments, combined with the absence of any formal withdrawal or exclusion by FIFA or the hosts, underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Scheduled meetings between the Iranian federation and FIFA in the coming days are the next key milestones before the June kickoff.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$135,524
Data de Término
2 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 88% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 88¢, the market collectively assigns a 88% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" has generated $135.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" is 88% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 88% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.