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2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer

icon for 2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer

2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer

Kylian Mbappe 17%

Harry Kane 14%

Erling Haaland 7%

Lionel Messi 6.0%

Polymarket

$68,717 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe 17%

Harry Kane 14%

Erling Haaland 7%

Lionel Messi 6.0%

Polymarket

$68,717 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe

$9,675 Vol.

17%

Harry Kane

$3,285 Vol.

14%

Erling Haaland

$5,588 Vol.

7%

Lionel Messi

$1,217 Vol.

6%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$4,976 Vol.

6%

Ousmane Dembele

$2,387 Vol.

5%

Michael Olise

$1,533 Vol.

5%

Lamine Yamal

$3,417 Vol.

5%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$4,177 Vol.

5%

Lautaro Martinez

$985 Vol.

4%

Vinicius Junior

$1,280 Vol.

3%

Deniz Undav

$538 Vol.

3%

Ferran Torres

$4,799 Vol.

3%

Igor Thiago

$318 Vol.

3%

Raphinha

$1,802 Vol.

2%

Julian Alvarez

$2,588 Vol.

2%

Cody Gakpo

$811 Vol.

2%

Rafael Leao

$333 Vol.

2%

Viktor Gyökeres

$400 Vol.

1%

Dani Olmo

$329 Vol.

1%

Bukayo Saka

$1,789 Vol.

1%

Marcus Thuram

$393 Vol.

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$915 Vol.

1%

Depay Memphis

$671 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$1,433 Vol.

1%

Jude Bellingham

$331 Vol.

1%

Mohamed Salah

$341 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$436 Vol.

1%

Heung-Min Son

$229 Vol.

1%

Serge Gnabry

$4,330 Vol.

1%

Sadio Mane

$266 Vol.

1%

Federico Valverde

$259 Vol.

1%

Amad Diallo

$204 Vol.

1%

Edin Džeko

$157 Vol.

1%

Desire Doue

$259 Vol.

1%

Scott McTominay

$345 Vol.

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$259 Vol.

<1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$584 Vol.

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$204 Vol.

<1%

Noah Okafor

$361 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$3,808 Vol.

<1%

Dion Beljo

$248 Vol.

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$259 Vol.

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$197 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Kylian Mbappé as the narrow 2026 FIFA World Cup top goalscorer favorite at 17% implied probability, with Harry Kane close behind at 14%, a tight race fueled by Kane's blistering 2025-26 club form leading the European Golden Shoe with 33 goals amid Bayern Munich's Bundesliga title charge. Erling Haaland sits third at 6.5% after full recovery from a March knee injury, restoring his potency for Norway, while Spain's attacking depth elevates Mikel Oyarzabal and Lamine Yamal to 6% and 5% amid their Nations League exploits and Yamal's standout January performances. As European seasons conclude without major injuries in the past 30 days and groups undrawn, the bunched field underscores tournament volatility, deep national team runs, and multiple 20-goal club campaigners vying for Golden Boot glory.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68,717
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Kylian Mbappé as the narrow 2026 FIFA World Cup top goalscorer favorite at 17% implied probability, with Harry Kane close behind at 14%, a tight race fueled by Kane's blistering 2025-26 club form leading the European Golden Shoe with 33 goals amid Bayern Munich's Bundesliga title charge. Erling Haaland sits third at 6.5% after full recovery from a March knee injury, restoring his potency for Norway, while Spain's attacking depth elevates Mikel Oyarzabal and Lamine Yamal to 6% and 5% amid their Nations League exploits and Yamal's standout January performances. As European seasons conclude without major injuries in the past 30 days and groups undrawn, the bunched field underscores tournament volatility, deep national team runs, and multiple 20-goal club campaigners vying for Golden Boot glory.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68,717
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kylian Mbappe" at 17%, followed by "Harry Kane" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" has generated $68.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" is "Kylian Mbappe" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Kane" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.