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FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

icon for FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

$12,364 Vol.

28 jun 2026
Polymarket

$12,364 Vol.

Polymarket

France

$216 Vol.

97%

Spain

$1 Vol.

96%

Germany

$400 Vol.

95%

Portugal

$0 Vol.

94%

Belgium

$238 Vol.

93%

Argentina

$817 Vol.

93%

England

$1 Vol.

93%

Brazil

$0 Vol.

92%

Switzerland

$643 Vol.

91%

Uruguay

$160 Vol.

87%

Netherlands

$1,223 Vol.

88%

Morocco

$778 Vol.

86%

Mexico

$673 Vol.

84%

Austria

$172 Vol.

85%

Ecuador

$21 Vol.

82%

Colombia

$200 Vol.

83%

USA

$590 Vol.

81%

Norway

$0 Vol.

81%

Japan

$897 Vol.

79%

Canada

$109 Vol.

75%

Croatia

$130 Vol.

77%

Turkiye

$230 Vol.

75%

Paraguay

$202 Vol.

63%

Scotland

$91 Vol.

72%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$256 Vol.

69%

Algeria

$226 Vol.

69%

Czechia

$178 Vol.

67%

Ivory Coast

$32 Vol.

67%

Egypt

$180 Vol.

65%

Senegal

$136 Vol.

65%

South Korea

$0 Vol.

64%

Sweden

$901 Vol.

63%

Saudi Arabia

$132 Vol.

59%

Ghana

$544 Vol.

54%

DR Congo

$116 Vol.

53%

Australia

$47 Vol.

43%

Iran

$30 Vol.

59%

Tunisia

$175 Vol.

44%

Uzbekistan

$604 Vol.

45%

South Africa

$50 Vol.

33%

Panama

$0 Vol.

30%

Cape Verde

$184 Vol.

28%

New Zealand

$250 Vol.

26%

Qatar

$21 Vol.

20%

Jordan

$32 Vol.

16%

Iraq

$411 Vol.

12%

Haiti

$11 Vol.

12%

Curacao

$57 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup features 48 teams divided into 12 groups of four following the final draw completed earlier this year. The top two finishers from each group advance automatically to the Round of 32, joined by the eight strongest third-placed sides based on points, goal difference, and goals scored. Qualification wrapped in March with several first-time participants including Cape Verde, Curaçao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan securing spots alongside the host nations. Current trader focus centers on group strength assessments, recent national team form, key player availability, and historical head-to-head records in similar expanded formats, as these elements shape implied advancement probabilities ahead of the June kickoff.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,364
Data de Término
28 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup features 48 teams divided into 12 groups of four following the final draw completed earlier this year. The top two finishers from each group advance automatically to the Round of 32, joined by the eight strongest third-placed sides based on points, goal difference, and goals scored. Qualification wrapped in March with several first-time participants including Cape Verde, Curaçao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan securing spots alongside the host nations. Current trader focus centers on group strength assessments, recent national team form, key player availability, and historical head-to-head records in similar expanded formats, as these elements shape implied advancement probabilities ahead of the June kickoff.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,364
Data de Término
28 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "France" at 97%, followed by "Spain" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" has generated $12.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" is "France" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Spain" at 96%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.