Russian forces captured Hryshyne in the Pokrovsk sector of Donetsk Oblast during spring 2026 advances that followed their seizure of the city itself, establishing drone dominance, high-ground positions, and kill zones that have complicated Ukrainian logistics and reinforced defensive lines. As of mid-August 2026, fighting persists with Russian infantry probes and Ukrainian counter-battery and UAV strikes, but no confirmed Ukrainian territorial gains in the village. Broader Ukrainian claims of recapturing hundreds of square kilometers elsewhere this year have not extended to this hotspot, where Russian pressure continues amid fortified positions. Traders price near-zero probability of re-entry by near-term deadlines because any reversal would require a sustained Ukrainian counteroffensive that has yet to materialize in the sector.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Ucrânia voltará a entrar em Hryshyne até...?
$103,017 Vol.
30 de setembro
15%
$103,017 Vol.
30 de setembro
15%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces captured Hryshyne in the Pokrovsk sector of Donetsk Oblast during spring 2026 advances that followed their seizure of the city itself, establishing drone dominance, high-ground positions, and kill zones that have complicated Ukrainian logistics and reinforced defensive lines. As of mid-August 2026, fighting persists with Russian infantry probes and Ukrainian counter-battery and UAV strikes, but no confirmed Ukrainian territorial gains in the village. Broader Ukrainian claims of recapturing hundreds of square kilometers elsewhere this year have not extended to this hotspot, where Russian pressure continues amid fortified positions. Traders price near-zero probability of re-entry by near-term deadlines because any reversal would require a sustained Ukrainian counteroffensive that has yet to materialize in the sector.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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