Spain enters Group H as the clear frontrunner to top the standings, with traders assigning it an implied probability of roughly 80 percent based on its status as reigning European champions, FIFA’s top ranking, and a deep squad featuring established stars and emerging talents like Lamine Yamal. Uruguay sits second in the pricing at around 20 percent, reflecting its competitive history and attacking depth but tempered by inconsistent recent results and reported squad-coach tensions under Marcelo Bielsa. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde trail far behind, their low single-digit odds consistent with limited past World Cup progression for the former and the latter’s debutant status despite a strong qualifying campaign. With matches beginning June 15, recent previews highlight Spain’s expected control in fixtures against Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia as the primary driver keeping its group-win odds elevated ahead of kickoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEspanha 80%
Uruguai 20%
Arábia Saudita 1.8%
Cabo Verde 1.3%
$319,190 Vol.
$319,190 Vol.
Espanha
80%
Uruguai
20%
Arábia Saudita
2%
Cabo Verde
1%
Espanha 80%
Uruguai 20%
Arábia Saudita 1.8%
Cabo Verde 1.3%
$319,190 Vol.
$319,190 Vol.
Espanha
80%
Uruguai
20%
Arábia Saudita
2%
Cabo Verde
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain enters Group H as the clear frontrunner to top the standings, with traders assigning it an implied probability of roughly 80 percent based on its status as reigning European champions, FIFA’s top ranking, and a deep squad featuring established stars and emerging talents like Lamine Yamal. Uruguay sits second in the pricing at around 20 percent, reflecting its competitive history and attacking depth but tempered by inconsistent recent results and reported squad-coach tensions under Marcelo Bielsa. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde trail far behind, their low single-digit odds consistent with limited past World Cup progression for the former and the latter’s debutant status despite a strong qualifying campaign. With matches beginning June 15, recent previews highlight Spain’s expected control in fixtures against Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia as the primary driver keeping its group-win odds elevated ahead of kickoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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