Spain leads the implied probabilities at 16.4 percent, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1 percent, with England and Portugal close behind, reflecting a tightly bunched group of European contenders. Recent international results, including Spain’s Euro 2024 title and strong Nations League and Olympic performances, have sustained La Roja’s edge, while France benefits from exceptional squad depth and repeated final appearances. England’s talent pool under new leadership and Portugal’s consistent output keep them within striking distance. Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree and Brazil’s CONMEBOL qualifying form add further balance. The expanded 48-team field and North American hosting create multiple viable paths, with no single side establishing clear separation entering the group stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEspanha 16.4%
França 16.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
Portugal 10.5%
$1,937,052,178 Vol.
$1,937,052,178 Vol.

Espanha
16%

França
16%

Inglaterra
11%

Portugal
11%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
8%

Alemanha
5%

Holanda
4%

Noruega
2%

Bélgica
2%

Colômbia
2%

Japão
2%

Marrocos
2%

México
1%

Suíça
1%

Turquia
1%

EUA
1%

Uruguai
1%

Croácia
1%

Equador
1%

Senegal
1%

Costa do Marfim
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Canadá
<1%

Suécia
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Escócia
<1%

Egito
<1%

Irã
<1%

Gana
<1%

Argélia
<1%

Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguai
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Austrália
<1%

Nova Zelândia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordânia
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Tunísia
<1%

Uzbequistão
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Iraque
<1%

África do Sul
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Catar
<1%

Arábia Saudita
<1%
Espanha 16.4%
França 16.1%
Inglaterra 10.8%
Portugal 10.5%
$1,937,052,178 Vol.
$1,937,052,178 Vol.

Espanha
16%

França
16%

Inglaterra
11%

Portugal
11%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
8%

Alemanha
5%

Holanda
4%

Noruega
2%

Bélgica
2%

Colômbia
2%

Japão
2%

Marrocos
2%

México
1%

Suíça
1%

Turquia
1%

EUA
1%

Uruguai
1%

Croácia
1%

Equador
1%

Senegal
1%

Costa do Marfim
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Canadá
<1%

Suécia
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Escócia
<1%

Egito
<1%

Irã
<1%

Gana
<1%

Argélia
<1%

Bósnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguai
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Austrália
<1%

Nova Zelândia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordânia
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Tunísia
<1%

Uzbequistão
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Iraque
<1%

África do Sul
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Catar
<1%

Arábia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads the implied probabilities at 16.4 percent, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1 percent, with England and Portugal close behind, reflecting a tightly bunched group of European contenders. Recent international results, including Spain’s Euro 2024 title and strong Nations League and Olympic performances, have sustained La Roja’s edge, while France benefits from exceptional squad depth and repeated final appearances. England’s talent pool under new leadership and Portugal’s consistent output keep them within striking distance. Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree and Brazil’s CONMEBOL qualifying form add further balance. The expanded 48-team field and North American hosting create multiple viable paths, with no single side establishing clear separation entering the group stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions