The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format and 12-group structure, with the top two plus eight best third-placed sides advancing to the round of 32, shapes early trader views on quarterfinal berths. Spain and France lead implied probabilities following strong European Championship showings and squad depth, while Argentina, England, Portugal, and Brazil remain frontrunners based on recent results and star quality. Co-hosts USA and Mexico saw odds improve after opening wins over Paraguay and South Africa, respectively, highlighting home support and momentum. Brazil's draw against Morocco and ongoing group fixtures underscore how early form, injuries, and bracket positioning will drive further shifts before knockout rounds begin.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$570,513 Vol.
Spain
63%
France
60%
England
56%
Argentina
53%
Portugal
51%
Brazil
49%
Germany
41%
Belgium
38%
Netherlands
37%
USA
36%
Norway
30%
Colombia
29%
Mexico
29%
Morocco
28%
Japan
24%
Uruguay
22%
Croatia
21%
Switzerland
19%
Ecuador
17%
South Korea
15%
Austria
14%
Senegal
14%
Canada
12%
Ivory Coast
12%
Turkiye
12%
Scotland
10%
Australia
9%
Algeria
8%
Ghana
8%
Sweden
8%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
7%
Egypt
7%
Czechia
7%
Paraguay
5%
DR Congo
4%
Iran
4%
Uzbekistan
4%
South Africa
3%
Haiti
3%
Qatar
2%
Jordan
2%
Panama
2%
New Zealand
2%
Tunisia
2%
Cape Verde
2%
Iraq
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Curacao
1%
$570,513 Vol.
Spain
63%
France
60%
England
56%
Argentina
53%
Portugal
51%
Brazil
49%
Germany
41%
Belgium
38%
Netherlands
37%
USA
36%
Norway
30%
Colombia
29%
Mexico
29%
Morocco
28%
Japan
24%
Uruguay
22%
Croatia
21%
Switzerland
19%
Ecuador
17%
South Korea
15%
Austria
14%
Senegal
14%
Canada
12%
Ivory Coast
12%
Turkiye
12%
Scotland
10%
Australia
9%
Algeria
8%
Ghana
8%
Sweden
8%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
7%
Egypt
7%
Czechia
7%
Paraguay
5%
DR Congo
4%
Iran
4%
Uzbekistan
4%
South Africa
3%
Haiti
3%
Qatar
2%
Jordan
2%
Panama
2%
New Zealand
2%
Tunisia
2%
Cape Verde
2%
Iraq
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Curacao
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format and 12-group structure, with the top two plus eight best third-placed sides advancing to the round of 32, shapes early trader views on quarterfinal berths. Spain and France lead implied probabilities following strong European Championship showings and squad depth, while Argentina, England, Portugal, and Brazil remain frontrunners based on recent results and star quality. Co-hosts USA and Mexico saw odds improve after opening wins over Paraguay and South Africa, respectively, highlighting home support and momentum. Brazil's draw against Morocco and ongoing group fixtures underscore how early form, injuries, and bracket positioning will drive further shifts before knockout rounds begin.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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