European national teams hold the top spots in current betting odds, with Spain, France, England, and Portugal leading the field ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament that opens June 11. This depth across multiple UEFA sides underpins the 71.5% implied probability for a European winner. South American contenders Argentina and Brazil account for the 21.5% allocation, reflecting their recent form and historical success but thinner overall roster strength compared with Europe. Markets assign minimal probability to Africa, Asia, North America, or Oceania because no teams from those continents rank among the primary title favorites in official FIFA rankings or major sportsbooks. Squad submissions finalized in early June produced no major roster shifts that would alter this continental balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual continente vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo?
Europa 72%
América do Sul 22%
África 3.1%
Ásia 2.6%
$3,473,468 Vol.
$3,473,468 Vol.
Europa
72%
América do Sul
22%
África
3%
Ásia
3%
América do Norte
2%
Oceania
<1%
Europa 72%
América do Sul 22%
África 3.1%
Ásia 2.6%
$3,473,468 Vol.
$3,473,468 Vol.
Europa
72%
América do Sul
22%
África
3%
Ásia
3%
América do Norte
2%
Oceania
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...European national teams hold the top spots in current betting odds, with Spain, France, England, and Portugal leading the field ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament that opens June 11. This depth across multiple UEFA sides underpins the 71.5% implied probability for a European winner. South American contenders Argentina and Brazil account for the 21.5% allocation, reflecting their recent form and historical success but thinner overall roster strength compared with Europe. Markets assign minimal probability to Africa, Asia, North America, or Oceania because no teams from those continents rank among the primary title favorites in official FIFA rankings or major sportsbooks. Squad submissions finalized in early June produced no major roster shifts that would alter this continental balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions