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Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

icon for Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Espanha 17.0%

França 16.1%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Portugal 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,958,022,100 Vol.

Espanha 17.0%

França 16.1%

Inglaterra 10.8%

Portugal 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,958,022,100 Vol.

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$37,463,002 Vol.

17%

icon for França

França

$44,000,626 Vol.

16%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$32,446,608 Vol.

11%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$39,238,219 Vol.

11%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$34,839,619 Vol.

9%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$33,990,288 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$36,186,672 Vol.

5%

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$38,463,280 Vol.

4%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$37,293,817 Vol.

2%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$40,211,489 Vol.

2%

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$40,352,620 Vol.

2%

icon for Japão

Japão

$40,730,940 Vol.

2%

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$44,015,464 Vol.

2%

icon for México

México

$44,173,978 Vol.

1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$39,033,173 Vol.

1%

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$36,811,869 Vol.

1%

icon for EUA

EUA

$56,488,481 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$39,470,980 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$45,131,173 Vol.

1%

icon for Equador

Equador

$45,004,607 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$38,970,952 Vol.

1%

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$52,621,194 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$43,172,142 Vol.

<1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$44,090,254 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$29,866,820 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$48,388,876 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$42,303,611 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egito

Egito

$51,305,585 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irã

Irã

$44,609,379 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gana

Gana

$36,981,021 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$44,689,824 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$27,955,008 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$42,076,718 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$57,797,904 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$31,090,346 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$46,197,871 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$45,486,877 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$32,043,278 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$31,615,970 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$41,680,839 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$35,517,463 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$59,663,014 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$19,385,468 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$28,870,732 Vol.

<1%

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$38,252,430 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$40,218,190 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catar

Catar

$41,906,699 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$47,629,414 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market at 17% implied probability, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1%, as both enter as the standout European sides following strong qualification campaigns and Spain's Euro 2024 title. England and Portugal sit level at 10.8% while Argentina and Brazil trail slightly, reflecting the depth across the top six contenders. Recent international form, squad talent including emerging stars, and coaching stability underpin the tight clustering, with no single team separating decisively ahead of the June 11 kickoff. The expanded 48-team format and potential for upsets in a longer knockout path keep probabilities bunched, as traders weigh historical patterns against current roster health and group-stage matchups.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,958,022,100
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market at 17% implied probability, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1%, as both enter as the standout European sides following strong qualification campaigns and Spain's Euro 2024 title. England and Portugal sit level at 10.8% while Argentina and Brazil trail slightly, reflecting the depth across the top six contenders. Recent international form, squad talent including emerging stars, and coaching stability underpin the tight clustering, with no single team separating decisively ahead of the June 11 kickoff. The expanded 48-team format and potential for upsets in a longer knockout path keep probabilities bunched, as traders weigh historical patterns against current roster health and group-stage matchups.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,958,022,100
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 17%, followed by "França" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " has generated $2 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " is "Espanha" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.