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JPM previsões e probabilidades

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Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

47%

Goldman Sachs

$2M Vol.

$39.2K Liq.

17

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

3%

KeyBank

$486K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

40%

BMO

$21.5K Vol.

$64.0K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$557K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

5%

$2.6K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

ITF Andong: Geun Jun Kim vs Pietro Fellin

ITF Andong: Geun Jun Kim vs Pietro Fellin

68%

Pietro Fellin

$81 Vol.

$592 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

62%

Kimmer Coppejans

$236 Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

83%

Nothing

$83.2K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

9%

$10.1K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

86%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.2K Vol.

$72.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Bordeaux (Doubles): Arneodo/Polmans vs Blancaneaux/Tabur

Bordeaux (Doubles): Arneodo/Polmans vs Blancaneaux/Tabur

50%

Blancaneaux/Tabur

$0 Vol.

$109 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Bangor?

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Bangor?

68%

Fraud 3+ times

$277 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 horas

Cordoba: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Valerio Aboian

Cordoba: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Valerio Aboian

68%

Valerio Aboian

$0 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

YOM FDV above ___ one day after launch?

YOM FDV above ___ one day after launch?

44%

$20M

$138 Vol.

$939 Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$67.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

80%

Railbird

$101K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Tunis: Dali Blanch vs Jay Clarke

Tunis: Dali Blanch vs Jay Clarke

61%

Jay Clarke

$1.5K Vol.

$29.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

33%

160-179

$6.0K Vol.

$29.3K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

ITF Monastir: Daniel De Jonge vs Nicolas Jadoun

ITF Monastir: Daniel De Jonge vs Nicolas Jadoun

50%

Nicolas Jadoun

$0 Vol.

$54 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

ITF Maringa: Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago vs Pedro Petroski Rocha

ITF Maringa: Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago vs Pedro Petroski Rocha

100%

Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago

$10 Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like JPM.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for JPM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: May”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 47% chance to Goldman Sachs. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on JPM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.