Arizona's Republican-led legislature referred Proposition 317 to the November 3, 2026 ballot via House Concurrent Resolution 2055 during the 2025 session, declaring drug cartels terrorist organizations under state law and directing the Department of Homeland Security to address related threats including fentanyl trafficking and human smuggling. The measure follows voter approval of Proposition 314 in 2024 on border enforcement and aligns with ongoing state priorities along the southern border. Official ballot language was finalized and released in August 2026 with no reported legal challenges or competing initiatives. Traders assign an 86% implied probability to passage, reflecting the measure's straightforward path to the ballot and Arizona's recent pattern of support for similar criminal justice and immigration statutes, though late shifts in turnout or organized opposition could still affect the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАризона принимает закон об избирательных бюллетенях для наркокартелей?
Аризона принимает закон об избирательных бюллетенях для наркокартелей?
86% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
86% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/). Arizona's Republican-led legislature referred Proposition 317 to the November 3, 2026 ballot via House Concurrent Resolution 2055 during the 2025 session, declaring drug cartels terrorist organizations under state law and directing the Department of Homeland Security to address related threats including fentanyl trafficking and human smuggling. The measure follows voter approval of Proposition 314 in 2024 on border enforcement and aligns with ongoing state priorities along the southern border. Official ballot language was finalized and released in August 2026 with no reported legal challenges or competing initiatives. Traders assign an 86% implied probability to passage, reflecting the measure's straightforward path to the ballot and Arizona's recent pattern of support for similar criminal justice and immigration statutes, though late shifts in turnout or organized opposition could still affect the outcome.
Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 7:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/). Arizona's Republican-led legislature referred Proposition 317 to the November 3, 2026 ballot via House Concurrent Resolution 2055 during the 2025 session, declaring drug cartels terrorist organizations under state law and directing the Department of Homeland Security to address related threats including fentanyl trafficking and human smuggling. The measure follows voter approval of Proposition 314 in 2024 on border enforcement and aligns with ongoing state priorities along the southern border. Official ballot language was finalized and released in August 2026 with no reported legal challenges or competing initiatives. Traders assign an 86% implied probability to passage, reflecting the measure's straightforward path to the ballot and Arizona's recent pattern of support for similar criminal justice and immigration statutes, though late shifts in turnout or organized opposition could still affect the outcome.
Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 7:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Arizona's Republican-led legislature referred Proposition 317 to the November 3, 2026 ballot via House Concurrent Resolution 2055 during the 2025 session, declaring drug cartels terrorist organizations under state law and directing the Department of Homeland Security to address related threats including fentanyl trafficking and human smuggling. The measure follows voter approval of Proposition 314 in 2024 on border enforcement and aligns with ongoing state priorities along the southern border. Official ballot language was finalized and released in August 2026 with no reported legal challenges or competing initiatives. Traders assign an 86% implied probability to passage, reflecting the measure's straightforward path to the ballot and Arizona's recent pattern of support for similar criminal justice and immigration statutes, though late shifts in turnout or organized opposition could still affect the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Аризона принимает меру, ограничивающую доступ трансгендеров к школьным и спортивным мероприятиям?
65%
Да
Калифорнийское предложение о государственном финансировании избирательных кампаний
41%
Да
В Колорадо принят референдум о пожизненном заключении для несовершеннолетних торговцев людьми с целью сексуальной эксплуатации?
87%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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