Recent Focus survey consensus and Banco Central do Brasil projections anchor trader sentiment for Brazil's 2026 IPCA at 5.0-5.2%, positioning the 5.00-5.49% band as the leading outcome with 54.1% implied probability. July 2026 annual inflation eased to 4.44% yet remains above the 3% target amid resilient labor markets and fiscal stimulus risks, while the Copom's fourth consecutive 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.00% in August signals cautious easing without altering upside-skewed inflation expectations. These factors sustain market-implied odds clustered in the mid-5% range, with upcoming data releases and policy statements likely to refine probabilities around the central bank's tolerance band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено5,00–5,49% 54.3%
5,50–5,99% 23.1%
4,50–4,99% 15.3%
4,00–4,49% 3.0%
$92,987 Объем
$92,987 Объем
12 янв. 2027 г.
<3,00%
2%
3,00-3,49%
1%
3,50–3,99%
2%
4,00–4,49%
3%
4,50–4,99%
15%
5,00–5,49%
54%
5,50–5,99%
23%
6,00–6,49%
1%
6,50–6,99%
<1%
7,00%+
3%
5,00–5,49% 54.3%
5,50–5,99% 23.1%
4,50–4,99% 15.3%
4,00–4,49% 3.0%
$92,987 Объем
$92,987 Объем
12 янв. 2027 г.
<3,00%
$5,669 Объем
2%
3,00-3,49%
$5,739 Объем
1%
3,50–3,99%
$13,142 Объем
2%
4,00–4,49%
$13,506 Объем
3%
4,50–4,99%
$14,908 Объем
15%
5,00–5,49%
$13,144 Объем
54%
5,50–5,99%
$9,078 Объем
23%
6,00–6,49%
$6,438 Объем
1%
6,50–6,99%
$6,612 Объем
<1%
7,00%+
$4,751 Объем
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent Focus survey consensus and Banco Central do Brasil projections anchor trader sentiment for Brazil's 2026 IPCA at 5.0-5.2%, positioning the 5.00-5.49% band as the leading outcome with 54.1% implied probability. July 2026 annual inflation eased to 4.44% yet remains above the 3% target amid resilient labor markets and fiscal stimulus risks, while the Copom's fourth consecutive 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.00% in August signals cautious easing without altering upside-skewed inflation expectations. These factors sustain market-implied odds clustered in the mid-5% range, with upcoming data releases and policy statements likely to refine probabilities around the central bank's tolerance band.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Открытие рынка: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Объем
$92,987Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent Focus survey consensus and Banco Central do Brasil projections anchor trader sentiment for Brazil's 2026 IPCA at 5.0-5.2%, positioning the 5.00-5.49% band as the leading outcome with 54.1% implied probability. July 2026 annual inflation eased to 4.44% yet remains above the 3% target amid resilient labor markets and fiscal stimulus risks, while the Copom's fourth consecutive 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.00% in August signals cautious easing without altering upside-skewed inflation expectations. These factors sustain market-implied odds clustered in the mid-5% range, with upcoming data releases and policy statements likely to refine probabilities around the central bank's tolerance band.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Объем
$92,987Дата окончания
12 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Focus survey consensus and Banco Central do Brasil projections anchor trader sentiment for Brazil's 2026 IPCA at 5.0-5.2%, positioning the 5.00-5.49% band as the leading outcome with 54.1% implied probability. July 2026 annual inflation eased to 4.44% yet remains above the 3% target amid resilient labor markets and fiscal stimulus risks, while the Copom's fourth consecutive 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.00% in August signals cautious easing without altering upside-skewed inflation expectations. These factors sustain market-implied odds clustered in the mid-5% range, with upcoming data releases and policy statements likely to refine probabilities around the central bank's tolerance band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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