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icon for Выборы губернатора Калифорнии: победитель округа Фресно
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Выборы губернатора Калифорнии: победитель округа Фресно

icon for Выборы губернатора Калифорнии: победитель округа Фресно
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Выборы губернатора Калифорнии: победитель округа Фресно

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Стив Хилтон

Стив Хилтон

$2,940 Объем

67%

icon for Хавьер Бесерра

Хавьер Бесерра

$2,376 Объем

28%

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.Steve Hilton holds a clear edge in Fresno County trader consensus due to the Central Valley's stronger Republican tilt compared to coastal California. Recent statewide polling from the Public Policy Institute of California shows Becerra leading Hilton by 22 points overall, yet Hilton ahead 52-46 percent in the Central Valley region that includes Fresno. With the November 3 general election approaching and candidates focusing on affordability, housing, and crime in Central Valley forums, this geographic split drives the implied probabilities. Hilton's emphasis on reducing regulations and taxes aligns with local voter priorities in the area, while Becerra maintains broader Democratic support elsewhere. No late-breaking developments have altered the regional pattern in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
Объем
$5,316
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.Steve Hilton holds a clear edge in Fresno County trader consensus due to the Central Valley's stronger Republican tilt compared to coastal California. Recent statewide polling from the Public Policy Institute of California shows Becerra leading Hilton by 22 points overall, yet Hilton ahead 52-46 percent in the Central Valley region that includes Fresno. With the November 3 general election approaching and candidates focusing on affordability, housing, and crime in Central Valley forums, this geographic split drives the implied probabilities. Hilton's emphasis on reducing regulations and taxes aligns with local voter priorities in the area, while Becerra maintains broader Democratic support elsewhere. No late-breaking developments have altered the regional pattern in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
Объем
$5,316
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Ксавье Бесерра выборы губернатора Калифорнии в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Ксавье Бесерра выборы губернатора Калифорнии в 2026 году?

95%
Да
icon for Выиграют ли демократы округ Марикопа на губернаторских выборах в Аризоне в 2026 году?

Выиграют ли демократы округ Марикопа на губернаторских выборах в Аризоне в 2026 году?

84%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Кэти Хокул округ Нассау на выборах губернатора штата Нью-Йорк в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Кэти Хокул округ Нассау на выборах губернатора штата Нью-Йорк в 2026 году?

53%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы губернатора Калифорнии: победитель округа Фресно» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Стив Хилтон» с 67%, за ним следует «Хавьер Бесерра» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 67¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы губернатора Калифорнии: победитель округа Фресно» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы губернатора Калифорнии: победитель округа Фресно», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы губернатора Калифорнии: победитель округа Фресно» — «Стив Хилтон» с 67%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Хавьер Бесерра» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы губернатора Калифорнии: победитель округа Фресно» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.