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icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Политика·Награды 20, 4.5, 50

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Политика·Награды 20, 4.5, 50

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 80%

1st Round Outright Winner 11.0%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 80%

1st Round Outright Winner 11.0%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro

$3,526 Объем

80%

1st Round Outright Winner

$1,811 Объем

11%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro

$2,278 Объем

10%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia

$1,304 Объем

<1%

Other

$1,031 Объем

<1%

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages place left-leaning Senator Iván Cepeda comfortably ahead for the May 31 first round but well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory, while the right-wing vote remains split between far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Senator Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has edged Valencia in most late-April and mid-May surveys amid high undecided voter shares and low name recognition for other contenders, with his campaign gaining visibility from recent public appearances despite controversy over past remarks. This positioning has concentrated trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff, reflected in the elevated probability assigned to that pairing ahead of the June 21 second round.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Объем
$9,942
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages place left-leaning Senator Iván Cepeda comfortably ahead for the May 31 first round but well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory, while the right-wing vote remains split between far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Senator Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has edged Valencia in most late-April and mid-May surveys amid high undecided voter shares and low name recognition for other contenders, with his campaign gaining visibility from recent public appearances despite controversy over past remarks. This positioning has concentrated trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff, reflected in the elevated probability assigned to that pairing ahead of the June 21 second round.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Объем
$9,942
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro» с 80%, за ним следует «1st Round Outright Winner» с 11%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 80¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 13, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?» — «Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro» с 80%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1st Round Outright Winner» с 11%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.