The leading 54-57% turnout bin reflects Colombia's historical first-round average near 55%, as seen in 2022, combined with a late-April Invamer poll showing 56.5% of respondents very likely to participate. March legislative elections delivered low turnout near 48% amid a divided Congress and voter fatigue, yet the presidential contest's higher stakes and fragmented field—with Iván Cepeda leading polls but no candidate approaching a majority—have tempered expectations of a sharp mobilization surge. Traders price higher bins modestly because no single frontrunner or late campaign event has generated broad enthusiasm sufficient to exceed 60%, while lower ranges remain viable if apathy persists into the May 31 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мая 2026 г.
<48%
4%
48-51%
25%
51-54%
23%
54-57%
39%
57-60%
13%
60%+
18%
54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мая 2026 г.
<48%
$436 Объем
4%
48-51%
$428 Объем
25%
51-54%
$420 Объем
23%
54-57%
$441 Объем
39%
57-60%
$420 Объем
13%
60%+
$489 Объем
18%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The leading 54-57% turnout bin reflects Colombia's historical first-round average near 55%, as seen in 2022, combined with a late-April Invamer poll showing 56.5% of respondents very likely to participate. March legislative elections delivered low turnout near 48% amid a divided Congress and voter fatigue, yet the presidential contest's higher stakes and fragmented field—with Iván Cepeda leading polls but no candidate approaching a majority—have tempered expectations of a sharp mobilization surge. Traders price higher bins modestly because no single frontrunner or late campaign event has generated broad enthusiasm sufficient to exceed 60%, while lower ranges remain viable if apathy persists into the May 31 vote.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Открытие рынка: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Объем
$2,634Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The leading 54-57% turnout bin reflects Colombia's historical first-round average near 55%, as seen in 2022, combined with a late-April Invamer poll showing 56.5% of respondents very likely to participate. March legislative elections delivered low turnout near 48% amid a divided Congress and voter fatigue, yet the presidential contest's higher stakes and fragmented field—with Iván Cepeda leading polls but no candidate approaching a majority—have tempered expectations of a sharp mobilization surge. Traders price higher bins modestly because no single frontrunner or late campaign event has generated broad enthusiasm sufficient to exceed 60%, while lower ranges remain viable if apathy persists into the May 31 vote.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Объем
$2,634Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The leading 54-57% turnout bin reflects Colombia's historical first-round average near 55%, as seen in 2022, combined with a late-April Invamer poll showing 56.5% of respondents very likely to participate. March legislative elections delivered low turnout near 48% amid a divided Congress and voter fatigue, yet the presidential contest's higher stakes and fragmented field—with Iván Cepeda leading polls but no candidate approaching a majority—have tempered expectations of a sharp mobilization surge. Traders price higher bins modestly because no single frontrunner or late campaign event has generated broad enthusiasm sufficient to exceed 60%, while lower ranges remain viable if apathy persists into the May 31 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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