Recent polling trends show the ruling Democratic Party maintaining an edge in most of the 17 metropolitan mayoral and gubernatorial races ahead of the June 3 vote, though its lead has narrowed in several key battlegrounds including Seoul and Busan. Candidate registration closed with DP nominees facing off against People Power Party incumbents in high-profile contests, while internal party leadership dynamics and candidate replacements have shaped turnout expectations. National surveys indicate DP support around 44-51 percent versus 23-33 percent for the opposition, yet traditional conservative strongholds continue to favor PPP candidates, supporting trader consensus around 12-14 wins. Scheduled events such as final unification talks and remaining campaign weeks could still shift margins in close districts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
13 34%
12 20%
11 16.0%
14 16%
≤10
9%
11
11%
12
20%
13
45%
14
16%
15
5%
≥16
1%
13 34%
12 20%
11 16.0%
14 16%
≤10
9%
11
11%
12
20%
13
45%
14
16%
15
5%
≥16
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends show the ruling Democratic Party maintaining an edge in most of the 17 metropolitan mayoral and gubernatorial races ahead of the June 3 vote, though its lead has narrowed in several key battlegrounds including Seoul and Busan. Candidate registration closed with DP nominees facing off against People Power Party incumbents in high-profile contests, while internal party leadership dynamics and candidate replacements have shaped turnout expectations. National surveys indicate DP support around 44-51 percent versus 23-33 percent for the opposition, yet traditional conservative strongholds continue to favor PPP candidates, supporting trader consensus around 12-14 wins. Scheduled events such as final unification talks and remaining campaign weeks could still shift margins in close districts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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