Recent polling for the June 2 primary shows incumbent Karen Bass leading at 30-35% among likely voters, with challengers Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman close behind at 20-23% each and 16% or more undecided. This fragmented field, combined with more than a dozen other candidates splitting remaining support, leaves no frontrunner near the 50% threshold required for an outright win. Historical patterns in Los Angeles nonpartisan primaries reinforce that top-two advancement to the November runoff remains the expected outcome absent a sudden consolidation of voter preferences before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 июн. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 июн. 2026 г.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Recent polling for the June 2 primary shows incumbent Karen Bass leading at 30-35% among likely voters, with challengers Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman close behind at 20-23% each and 16% or more undecided. This fragmented field, combined with more than a dozen other candidates splitting remaining support, leaves no frontrunner near the 50% threshold required for an outright win. Historical patterns in Los Angeles nonpartisan primaries reinforce that top-two advancement to the November runoff remains the expected outcome absent a sudden consolidation of voter preferences before election day.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Объем
$1,237Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Recent polling for the June 2 primary shows incumbent Karen Bass leading at 30-35% among likely voters, with challengers Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman close behind at 20-23% each and 16% or more undecided. This fragmented field, combined with more than a dozen other candidates splitting remaining support, leaves no frontrunner near the 50% threshold required for an outright win. Historical patterns in Los Angeles nonpartisan primaries reinforce that top-two advancement to the November runoff remains the expected outcome absent a sudden consolidation of voter preferences before election day.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Объем
$1,237Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling for the June 2 primary shows incumbent Karen Bass leading at 30-35% among likely voters, with challengers Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman close behind at 20-23% each and 16% or more undecided. This fragmented field, combined with more than a dozen other candidates splitting remaining support, leaves no frontrunner near the 50% threshold required for an outright win. Historical patterns in Los Angeles nonpartisan primaries reinforce that top-two advancement to the November runoff remains the expected outcome absent a sudden consolidation of voter preferences before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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