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NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
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NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Rebecca Bennett 87%

Brian Varela 16.6%

Michael Roth 6.0%

Tina Shah 4.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Rebecca Bennett 87%

Brian Varela 16.6%

Michael Roth 6.0%

Tina Shah 4.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Rebecca Bennett

$661 Объем

83%

Brian Varela

$1,088 Объем

28%

Michael Roth

$1,183 Объем

9%

Tina Shah

$604 Объем

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands an 84% implied probability in trader consensus for the NJ-07 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her leading small-donor fundraising—$2.65 million total raised, with $1.42 million cash on hand—and endorsements from over 100 local Democratic leaders plus recent super PAC ad buys from VoteVets and Article One Action. These factors underscore her electability edge in the battleground district against self-funded challengers Brian Varela (27%), who secured progressive backing like Newark Mayor Ras Baraka's endorsement, Michael Roth (11%), leveraging Biden administration experience, and Tina Shah (5%), emphasizing healthcare expertise. A key New Jersey Globe debate three days ago highlighted policy contrasts on affordability and challenging Rep. Tom Kean Jr., but traders see Bennett's momentum persisting ahead of early voting starting May 26, amid no public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$3,536
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands an 84% implied probability in trader consensus for the NJ-07 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her leading small-donor fundraising—$2.65 million total raised, with $1.42 million cash on hand—and endorsements from over 100 local Democratic leaders plus recent super PAC ad buys from VoteVets and Article One Action. These factors underscore her electability edge in the battleground district against self-funded challengers Brian Varela (27%), who secured progressive backing like Newark Mayor Ras Baraka's endorsement, Michael Roth (11%), leveraging Biden administration experience, and Tina Shah (5%), emphasizing healthcare expertise. A key New Jersey Globe debate three days ago highlighted policy contrasts on affordability and challenging Rep. Tom Kean Jr., but traders see Bennett's momentum persisting ahead of early voting starting May 26, amid no public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$3,536
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Rebecca Bennett» с 83%, за ним следует «Brian Varela» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 83¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Rebecca Bennett» с 83%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Brian Varela» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.