Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 tweet range at 48.4% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 8-15, reflecting his recent daily average of around 23 posts as tracked for the May 11-13 window, with 48 posts already logged at 57% progress into the full period. A quieter start gave way to a May 13 surge—featuring viral "True" endorsements on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic's Haitian deportations—despite reports of Musk traveling to China, where Starlink enabled nonstop posting and defied earlier low-volume bets. With two days left, no major catalysts like product launches signal a mega-spree, keeping 120-139 at 29.4% while higher bins fade amid his variable cultural and political engagement patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено100-119 49.1%
120-139 27.2%
80-99 14.9%
140-159 7.4%
$7,415,541 Объем
$7,415,541 Объем
80-99
15%
100-119
49%
120-139
27%
140-159
7%
160-179
2%
180–199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400–419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440–459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480–499
<1%
500+
<1%
100-119 49.1%
120-139 27.2%
80-99 14.9%
140-159 7.4%
$7,415,541 Объем
$7,415,541 Объем
80-99
15%
100-119
49%
120-139
27%
140-159
7%
160-179
2%
180–199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400–419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440–459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480–499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 tweet range at 48.4% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 8-15, reflecting his recent daily average of around 23 posts as tracked for the May 11-13 window, with 48 posts already logged at 57% progress into the full period. A quieter start gave way to a May 13 surge—featuring viral "True" endorsements on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic's Haitian deportations—despite reports of Musk traveling to China, where Starlink enabled nonstop posting and defied earlier low-volume bets. With two days left, no major catalysts like product launches signal a mega-spree, keeping 120-139 at 29.4% while higher bins fade amid his variable cultural and political engagement patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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