Elon Musk’s high-volume posting on X continues to shape trader sentiment in this narrow weekly range, with the 180-199 bucket holding a slim lead at 19.5 percent implied probability. Recent business announcements, regulatory updates, and real-time reactions to market moves have kept his daily cadence elevated but unpredictable, preventing any single bracket from pulling far ahead. The tight clustering between 160-179 and 200-219 reflects the market’s recognition that one or two extra threads or high-engagement replies can easily shift the final count. Upcoming catalysts such as major Tesla or SpaceX milestones, political commentary, or viral moments could still push totals higher, yet historical patterns suggest a week-long total in the low-to-mid 180s remains the most consistent outcome when no single event dominates the feed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено180-199 20%
200–219 16.6%
160-179 16%
220-239 11.2%
$3,989,142 Объем
$3,989,142 Объем
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100–119
1%
120-139
3%
140–159
10%
160-179
16%
180-199
20%
200–219
17%
220-239
11%
240-259
7%
260-279
5%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380–399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440–459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 20%
200–219 16.6%
160-179 16%
220-239 11.2%
$3,989,142 Объем
$3,989,142 Объем
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100–119
1%
120-139
3%
140–159
10%
160-179
16%
180-199
20%
200–219
17%
220-239
11%
240-259
7%
260-279
5%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380–399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440–459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s high-volume posting on X continues to shape trader sentiment in this narrow weekly range, with the 180-199 bucket holding a slim lead at 19.5 percent implied probability. Recent business announcements, regulatory updates, and real-time reactions to market moves have kept his daily cadence elevated but unpredictable, preventing any single bracket from pulling far ahead. The tight clustering between 160-179 and 200-219 reflects the market’s recognition that one or two extra threads or high-engagement replies can easily shift the final count. Upcoming catalysts such as major Tesla or SpaceX milestones, political commentary, or viral moments could still push totals higher, yet historical patterns suggest a week-long total in the low-to-mid 180s remains the most consistent outcome when no single event dominates the feed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы