Recent trading activity on this three-day window reflects Elon Musk’s established posting cadence of roughly 18–22 tweets daily, driven by ongoing commentary on xAI model upgrades, Tesla FSD releases, and platform developments. With no major travel, legal proceedings, or product launches scheduled for May 18–20, market participants view the 40–64 range as the most probable outcome, consistent with his verified pace through mid-May. Brief spikes from viral threads or quick replies remain possible, yet sustained lower volume during routine workdays or quiet periods could pull totals toward the lower end of that bucket.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 44%
65–89 28%
менее 40 16%
90-114 9%
$18,895 Объем
$18,895 Объем
менее 40
16%
40-64
44%
65–89
28%
90-114
9%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 44%
65–89 28%
менее 40 16%
90-114 9%
$18,895 Объем
$18,895 Объем
менее 40
16%
40-64
44%
65–89
28%
90-114
9%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskRecent trading activity on this three-day window reflects Elon Musk’s established posting cadence of roughly 18–22 tweets daily, driven by ongoing commentary on xAI model upgrades, Tesla FSD releases, and platform developments. With no major travel, legal proceedings, or product launches scheduled for May 18–20, market participants view the 40–64 range as the most probable outcome, consistent with his verified pace through mid-May. Brief spikes from viral threads or quick replies remain possible, yet sustained lower volume during routine workdays or quiet periods could pull totals toward the lower end of that bucket.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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