Trader sentiment strongly favors the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X posts over May 16-18, driven by his well-documented average posting frequency of roughly 15-25 tweets daily outside major breaking-news cycles. Historical platform data shows this pace produces totals squarely in the leading bin for comparable three-day stretches, with traders viewing it as the most probable baseline. Recent activity has followed routine patterns of replies, commentary, and occasional threads, without any verified surge from high-profile announcements or platform developments. The market remains sensitive to late-period momentum, as the window closes on May 18 and any sudden news cycle could push the count toward the 65-89 outcome still holding meaningful support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 60%
65-89 35%
90-114 3.5%
Менее 40 1.1%
$492,725 Объем
$492,725 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
Менее 40
1%
40-64
60%
65-89
35%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165–189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 60%
65-89 35%
90-114 3.5%
Менее 40 1.1%
$492,725 Объем
$492,725 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
Менее 40
$113,358 Объем
1%
40-64
$42,129 Объем
60%
65-89
$49,222 Объем
35%
90-114
$73,525 Объем
4%
115-139
$47,483 Объем
1%
140-164
$48,592 Объем
<1%
165–189
$53,265 Объем
<1%
190-214
$36,291 Объем
<1%
215-239
$14,853 Объем
<1%
240+
$16,696 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment strongly favors the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X posts over May 16-18, driven by his well-documented average posting frequency of roughly 15-25 tweets daily outside major breaking-news cycles. Historical platform data shows this pace produces totals squarely in the leading bin for comparable three-day stretches, with traders viewing it as the most probable baseline. Recent activity has followed routine patterns of replies, commentary, and occasional threads, without any verified surge from high-profile announcements or platform developments. The market remains sensitive to late-period momentum, as the window closes on May 18 and any sudden news cycle could push the count toward the 65-89 outcome still holding meaningful support.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Объем
$492,725Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment strongly favors the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X posts over May 16-18, driven by his well-documented average posting frequency of roughly 15-25 tweets daily outside major breaking-news cycles. Historical platform data shows this pace produces totals squarely in the leading bin for comparable three-day stretches, with traders viewing it as the most probable baseline. Recent activity has followed routine patterns of replies, commentary, and occasional threads, without any verified surge from high-profile announcements or platform developments. The market remains sensitive to late-period momentum, as the window closes on May 18 and any sudden news cycle could push the count toward the 65-89 outcome still holding meaningful support.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$492,725Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment strongly favors the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X posts over May 16-18, driven by his well-documented average posting frequency of roughly 15-25 tweets daily outside major breaking-news cycles. Historical platform data shows this pace produces totals squarely in the leading bin for comparable three-day stretches, with traders viewing it as the most probable baseline. Recent activity has followed routine patterns of replies, commentary, and occasional threads, without any verified surge from high-profile announcements or platform developments. The market remains sensitive to late-period momentum, as the window closes on May 18 and any sudden news cycle could push the count toward the 65-89 outcome still holding meaningful support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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