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How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?

icon for How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?

How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?

3 - 4 days 47%

Not Completed 42%

2 - 3 days 41%

4 - 5 days 41%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

3 - 4 days 47%

Not Completed 42%

2 - 3 days 41%

4 - 5 days 41%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

< 2 days

$146 Объем

20%

2 - 3 days

$0 Объем

41%

3 - 4 days

$0 Объем

47%

4 - 5 days

$0 Объем

41%

5 - 6 days

$0 Объем

41%

> 6 days

$0 Объем

41%

Not Completed

$0 Объем

42%

Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit. Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point. If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest. If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket. If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ant Middleton’s current Everest push from the South Col route has created a tight contest among traders, with the 3–4 day window holding a slim lead over “Not Completed” as the market reflects real uncertainty in high-altitude logistics. Seasoned traders weigh Middleton’s documented endurance background and prior successful ascents against the mountain’s narrow spring weather windows, mandatory acclimatization rotations, and the high historical failure rate for even experienced teams. Recent social updates show the group progressing through base camp and lower camps amid shifting forecasts, keeping the probability of a rapid summit versus an aborted attempt nearly even. Any confirmed high camp departure or extended storm delay could quickly shift momentum before the typical May window closes.

Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.

Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.

If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.

If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.

If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".

The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$146
Дата окончания
30 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit. Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point. If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest. If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket. If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit. Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point. If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest. If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket. If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ant Middleton’s current Everest push from the South Col route has created a tight contest among traders, with the 3–4 day window holding a slim lead over “Not Completed” as the market reflects real uncertainty in high-altitude logistics. Seasoned traders weigh Middleton’s documented endurance background and prior successful ascents against the mountain’s narrow spring weather windows, mandatory acclimatization rotations, and the high historical failure rate for even experienced teams. Recent social updates show the group progressing through base camp and lower camps amid shifting forecasts, keeping the probability of a rapid summit versus an aborted attempt nearly even. Any confirmed high camp departure or extended storm delay could quickly shift momentum before the typical May window closes.

Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.

Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.

If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.

If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.

If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".

The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$146
Дата окончания
30 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Sunday, May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit. Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point. If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest. If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket. If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «3 - 4 days» с 47%, за ним следует «Not Completed» с 42%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 47¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 16, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?» — «3 - 4 days» с 47%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Not Completed» с 42%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.