Ant Middleton’s current Everest push from the South Col route has created a tight contest among traders, with the 3–4 day window holding a slim lead over “Not Completed” as the market reflects real uncertainty in high-altitude logistics. Seasoned traders weigh Middleton’s documented endurance background and prior successful ascents against the mountain’s narrow spring weather windows, mandatory acclimatization rotations, and the high historical failure rate for even experienced teams. Recent social updates show the group progressing through base camp and lower camps amid shifting forecasts, keeping the probability of a rapid summit versus an aborted attempt nearly even. Any confirmed high camp departure or extended storm delay could quickly shift momentum before the typical May window closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?
3 - 4 days 47%
Not Completed 42%
2 - 3 days 41%
4 - 5 days 41%
< 2 days
20%
2 - 3 days
41%
3 - 4 days
47%
4 - 5 days
41%
5 - 6 days
41%
> 6 days
41%
Not Completed
42%
3 - 4 days 47%
Not Completed 42%
2 - 3 days 41%
4 - 5 days 41%
< 2 days
20%
2 - 3 days
41%
3 - 4 days
47%
4 - 5 days
41%
5 - 6 days
41%
> 6 days
41%
Not Completed
42%
This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit.
Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point.
If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest.
If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket.
If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed".
The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ant Middleton’s current Everest push from the South Col route has created a tight contest among traders, with the 3–4 day window holding a slim lead over “Not Completed” as the market reflects real uncertainty in high-altitude logistics. Seasoned traders weigh Middleton’s documented endurance background and prior successful ascents against the mountain’s narrow spring weather windows, mandatory acclimatization rotations, and the high historical failure rate for even experienced teams. Recent social updates show the group progressing through base camp and lower camps amid shifting forecasts, keeping the probability of a rapid summit versus an aborted attempt nearly even. Any confirmed high camp departure or extended storm delay could quickly shift momentum before the typical May window closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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