Recent heavy losses for Labour in early May local elections across England, Scotland, and Wales—including third-place finishes behind Reform UK and others—have deepened public dissatisfaction, with YouGov polls showing government net approval steady near -50% (15% approve, 68% disapprove as of late April). This downward pressure from voter backlash on economic handling and policy delivery balances trader sentiment at even odds for an uptick this week, as Prime Minister Keir Starmer's May 11 reset speech pledging stronger European ties aims to stem the slide. New polling data or positive economic releases could tip probabilities upward, while further Reform gains or budget critiques might drive them lower, underscoring the closely contested nature amid volatile post-election volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUK Government approval Up or Down this week?
UK Government approval Up or Down this week?
Up
$250 Объем
$250 Объем
Up
$250 Объем
$250 Объем
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent heavy losses for Labour in early May local elections across England, Scotland, and Wales—including third-place finishes behind Reform UK and others—have deepened public dissatisfaction, with YouGov polls showing government net approval steady near -50% (15% approve, 68% disapprove as of late April). This downward pressure from voter backlash on economic handling and policy delivery balances trader sentiment at even odds for an uptick this week, as Prime Minister Keir Starmer's May 11 reset speech pledging stronger European ties aims to stem the slide. New polling data or positive economic releases could tip probabilities upward, while further Reform gains or budget critiques might drive them lower, underscoring the closely contested nature amid volatile post-election volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы