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icon for Насколько высок рейтинг одобрения Трампа в 2026 году?

Насколько высок рейтинг одобрения Трампа в 2026 году?

icon for Насколько высок рейтинг одобрения Трампа в 2026 году?

Насколько высок рейтинг одобрения Трампа в 2026 году?

дек. 31

дек. 31

НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$7,531 Объем

Polymarket

↑ 44%

$3,192 Объем

6%

↑ 45%

$320 Объем

6%

↑ 46%

$1,036 Объем

6%

↑ 47%

$480 Объем

11%

↑ 48%

$779 Объем

6%

↑ 49%

$656 Объем

5%

↑ 50%

$1,067 Объем

8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through his second term, falling from initial post-inauguration levels near 47 percent to recent aggregates around 37-38 percent and individual polls as low as 33 percent as of mid-August 2026. Primary pressures include the resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in July, ongoing military engagements, and associated economic effects such as higher energy prices amid concerns over the Strait of Hormuz. Domestic factors center on affordability and cost-of-living issues ahead of the November midterms. These developments have produced net approval ratings at or near second-term lows, with limited recent catalysts for upward movement in polling. Traders evaluating peak levels for the remainder of 2026 will track any shifts in foreign policy developments, economic indicators, or legislative outcomes that could alter the current downward trajectory.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Объем
$7,531
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through his second term, falling from initial post-inauguration levels near 47 percent to recent aggregates around 37-38 percent and individual polls as low as 33 percent as of mid-August 2026. Primary pressures include the resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in July, ongoing military engagements, and associated economic effects such as higher energy prices amid concerns over the Strait of Hormuz. Domestic factors center on affordability and cost-of-living issues ahead of the November midterms. These developments have produced net approval ratings at or near second-term lows, with limited recent catalysts for upward movement in polling. Traders evaluating peak levels for the remainder of 2026 will track any shifts in foreign policy developments, economic indicators, or legislative outcomes that could alter the current downward trajectory.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Объем
$7,531
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Насколько высок рейтинг одобрения Трампа в 2026 году?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «↑ 47%» с 11%, за ним следует «↑ 50%» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 11¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Насколько высок рейтинг одобрения Трампа в 2026 году?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Dec 11, 2025. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Насколько высок рейтинг одобрения Трампа в 2026 году?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Насколько высок рейтинг одобрения Трампа в 2026 году?» — «↑ 47%» с 11%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Следующий ближайший исход — «↑ 50%» с 8%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Насколько высок рейтинг одобрения Трампа в 2026 году?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.