Australia’s commanding lead in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final winner market reflects Delta Goodrem’s standout “Eclipse” performance, which earned widespread praise for its powerful vocals, polished staging, and broad jury-televote appeal during Vienna rehearsals and the live show. Traders have priced in this momentum at 69.5 percent implied probability, well ahead of Ukraine’s “Ridnym” and Bulgaria’s “Bangaranga,” both hovering around 10–12 percent after solid but less dominant outings. Romania, Denmark, and the lower-placed entrants trail further due to comparatively muted reactions and historical qualification patterns. With results still shaping final rankings, any late surge in public voting or jury shifts could narrow the gap, though Australia remains the clear frontrunner heading into the Grand Final.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Australia 70%
Ukraine 12.2%
Bulgaria 10.5%
Romania 6.5%
$197,698 Объем
$197,698 Объем
Australia
70%
Ukraine
12%
Bulgaria
11%
Romania
6%
Denmark
2%
Norway
1%
Czechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia 70%
Ukraine 12.2%
Bulgaria 10.5%
Romania 6.5%
$197,698 Объем
$197,698 Объем
Australia
70%
Ukraine
12%
Bulgaria
11%
Romania
6%
Denmark
2%
Norway
1%
Czechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia’s commanding lead in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final winner market reflects Delta Goodrem’s standout “Eclipse” performance, which earned widespread praise for its powerful vocals, polished staging, and broad jury-televote appeal during Vienna rehearsals and the live show. Traders have priced in this momentum at 69.5 percent implied probability, well ahead of Ukraine’s “Ridnym” and Bulgaria’s “Bangaranga,” both hovering around 10–12 percent after solid but less dominant outings. Romania, Denmark, and the lower-placed entrants trail further due to comparatively muted reactions and historical qualification patterns. With results still shaping final rankings, any late surge in public voting or jury shifts could narrow the gap, though Australia remains the clear frontrunner heading into the Grand Final.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы