Official National Weather Service and model guidance for August 7, 2026, centers on highs near 98°F amid persistent high-pressure ridging and a warmer-than-normal monthly outlook from the Climate Prediction Center. August climatology favors peak temperatures in the mid- to upper 90s, with rare exceedances of 100°F unless stronger subsidence or drier air advection develops. Recent runs show mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate daytime heating, aligning trader consensus on the 98-99°F bin. Any late-day sea-breeze influence or subtle shortwave could cap readings at 96-97°F, while stronger ridging might briefly push toward 100-101°F; updated afternoon model guidance and observed surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 7 августа?
98-99°F 62%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 13%
102-103°F 2%
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
62%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F или выше
<1%
98-99°F 62%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 13%
102-103°F 2%
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
62%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and model guidance for August 7, 2026, centers on highs near 98°F amid persistent high-pressure ridging and a warmer-than-normal monthly outlook from the Climate Prediction Center. August climatology favors peak temperatures in the mid- to upper 90s, with rare exceedances of 100°F unless stronger subsidence or drier air advection develops. Recent runs show mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate daytime heating, aligning trader consensus on the 98-99°F bin. Any late-day sea-breeze influence or subtle shortwave could cap readings at 96-97°F, while stronger ridging might briefly push toward 100-101°F; updated afternoon model guidance and observed surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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