Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Beijing’s June 18 daily maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Summer conditions feature strong insolation under subtropical high pressure, moderated by southeasterly monsoon flow and possible afternoon thundershowers that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Minor differences in model timing of cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or localized convective cells create the narrow spread traders are pricing, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima of 30–33 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 18 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 18 июня?
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 8.3%
НОВОЕ
$41,983 Объем
НОВОЕ
$41,983 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
32%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 8.3%
НОВОЕ
$41,983 Объем
НОВОЕ
$41,983 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$4,450 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1,815 Объем
<1%
28°C
$2,760 Объем
1%
29°C
$2,714 Объем
8%
30°C
$3,031 Объем
21%
31°C
$2,963 Объем
31%
32°C
$8,494 Объем
32%
33°C
$6,156 Объем
8%
34°C
$3,855 Объем
2%
35°C
$2,473 Объем
1%
36°C or higher
$3,271 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Beijing’s June 18 daily maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Summer conditions feature strong insolation under subtropical high pressure, moderated by southeasterly monsoon flow and possible afternoon thundershowers that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Minor differences in model timing of cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or localized convective cells create the narrow spread traders are pricing, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima of 30–33 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$41,983Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Beijing’s June 18 daily maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Summer conditions feature strong insolation under subtropical high pressure, moderated by southeasterly monsoon flow and possible afternoon thundershowers that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Minor differences in model timing of cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or localized convective cells create the narrow spread traders are pricing, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima of 30–33 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$41,983Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Beijing’s June 18 daily maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Summer conditions feature strong insolation under subtropical high pressure, moderated by southeasterly monsoon flow and possible afternoon thundershowers that can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings. Minor differences in model timing of cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or localized convective cells create the narrow spread traders are pricing, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima of 30–33 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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