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Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 5?

icon for Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 5?

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 5?

31°C 33%

30°C 24%

32°C 21%

29°C 8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

31°C 33%

30°C 24%

32°C 21%

29°C 8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

24°C or below

$17 Объем

<1%

25°C

$13 Объем

<1%

26°C

$39 Объем

<1%

27°C

$224 Объем

1%

28°C

$520 Объем

5%

29°C

$343 Объем

8%

30°C

$152 Объем

24%

31°C

$274 Объем

33%

32°C

$139 Объем

21%

33°C

$529 Объем

8%

34°C or higher

$775 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Guangzhou on July 5, 2026, center on 29–32°C maxima amid the East Asian summer monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected to limit insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and timing of convective activity, which can suppress daytime peaks by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky potential. Regional steering by the western Pacific subtropical high and proximity to the monsoon trough introduce uncertainty in rainfall coverage, directly influencing the narrow probability distribution across 29–32°C outcomes. Historical July baselines average 32–33°C, but recent model runs emphasize moisture-laden conditions as the dominant near-term constraint on extreme heat.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,025
Дата окончания
5 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Guangzhou on July 5, 2026, center on 29–32°C maxima amid the East Asian summer monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected to limit insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and timing of convective activity, which can suppress daytime peaks by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky potential. Regional steering by the western Pacific subtropical high and proximity to the monsoon trough introduce uncertainty in rainfall coverage, directly influencing the narrow probability distribution across 29–32°C outcomes. Historical July baselines average 32–33°C, but recent model runs emphasize moisture-laden conditions as the dominant near-term constraint on extreme heat.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,025
Дата окончания
5 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 5?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31°C» с 33%, за ним следует «30°C» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 33¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 33%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 5?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 5?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 5?» — «31°C» с 33%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 33%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30°C» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 5?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.